Well, the last round was one we'd certainly like to forget. In contrast to almost all other prediction tools, nothing can be hidden when your model’s history is logged on a transparent blockchain like Hive. I promised full transparency, so I deliver full transparency.
After this round, depending on this weekend's results, I will try to make the model better. No idea if that is possible, but we will explore new weightings if needed.
The beauty of running this model on the Hive blockchain is that our failures—and hopefully, our successes—are always transparent and available for review. The value of this post—and every future prediction—is rooted in the Hive blockchain, meaning our full history is permanently recorded and auditable.
The 38.5% 1X2 Hitrate is an honest assessment of our performance over 30 total matches. While the Over/Under Hitrate of 56.4% gives us a solid foundation, this week's focus is on elevating the core 1X2 performance. The beauty of running this model on the Hive blockchain is that our failures—and hopefully, our successes—are always transparent and available for review.
I tried to update the lay-out a little but. I do hope you see this as an improvement.
⚽ PL Matchweek 16 Prediction Report
📊 Overall Performance (39 Matches): 1X2 Hitrate: 38.5% | O/U Hitrate: 56.4%
📈 All Predictions
Just like last week, we do have a draw predicted and it even made it to the betting ticket. If that would land that would be an incredible boost.
All betting tickets are constructed to maximize potential returns while minimizing risk based on the model's confidence. The focus this week is on the high-probability home wins, balanced with the high-odds draw for maximum potential.
The model also thinks that we will get an early Christmas present with a weekend loaded with goals. Only one under is predicted and the is in the game Burnley vs Fulham. Burnley did only net 16 goals so far this season and Fulham is doing with 20 goals not a lot better.
The model also thinks that City will grab the three points away at Crystal Palace, but it will be with a narrow margin. If you are thinking about betting on City for the win, do this with caution! The safer bet or at least a bet with more value would be on the potential victory of Aston Villa away at West Ham.
Before you do place your bets. A crucial factor to remember is that several teams had to play European fixtures midweek, which inevitably leads to an increased level of fatigue.
🎟️ Recommended Tickets
Both the 1X2 and O/U tickets are played as accumulator (parlay) bets. To manage risk and return, we only bet on the 4-fold, 5-fold, and 6-fold permutations of the selections listed. The Correct Score (CS) ticket, due to its high-risk nature, is played as a Heinz full cover bet for maximum potential payoff."
Let's hope that I can post some green figures on Monday. Like I always say, the bets are placed, now it is up to the teams.
Cheers,
Peter