Worried about the future of the world I started looking statistical models that can predict the result of the US elections this november. These are the best pages:
- FiveThirtyEight http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
- The Upshot (The New York Times) http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html
- Princeton Election Consortium http://election.princeton.edu/
- PredictWise http://predictwise.com/politics/
- The Cook Political Report http://cookpolitical.com/presidential/charts/scorecard
- Sabato Crystal Ball http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-president/
- The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report http://rothenberggonzales.com/ratings/president
- Realclear Politics Polls http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/elections/
All indications are that Hillary Clinton will win. What do you think of these models? Who wants to win the election?