I can't remember the last time I've written anything about crypto and the general state of the market, I think it's been over a month or so, if not more. This is actually deliberate.
For someone who enjoys analyzing market trends and studying people's emotions and sentiments, I must admit that this is the first time I have completely logged off and halted any content or thoughts that lead to a full-fledged content.
This is for two reasons.
First, I did not have anything new to say, and nothing has changed; it is been all BTC and alts, as usual, and I believe this has been the case since April. Secondly, I think I was feeling really jaded and tired, and I needed to just stop creating stuffs about crypto, and just let the market play out the way it wanted.
After this post, I might probably not talk about anything crypto again till August, or maybe even longer than that. However, this does not imply that I am not taking notes and learning behind the scenes; rather, I do not want to jinx it. I just want to watch the market play out as it sees fit, rather than making predictions and permutations.
Global unrest
Again, it is disappointing to see how global unrest has created uncertainty surrounding crypto assets. This is not to say that unrest will keep crypto down indefinitely; rather, when wars become chronic, it will be difficult for crypto to recover and shake off the FUD that comes with them.
We witnessed this with COVID.
I am not attempting to minimize the impact of COVID. It was gruesome for about 8 to 12 months, with millions of people dying around the world, but when the world finally got a break, we all witnessed the incredible recovery.
However, it is important to note that since 2020, we have had one war after another, the most recent being Israel and Iran, with Trump obviously tweeting from somewhere about the latest developments in the conflict.
Generally I'm only worried about the chronic nature of the war, as the more it lingers, the more uncertainty we have. We will always have wars; humanity has demonstrated that we cannot exist without conflict that destroys lives and property. I do not believe crypto is the only asset that will suffer as a result of war.
While gold and other metals are increasing in value despite everything, we must recognize that war causes people to want to own physical assets because these assets become more valuable when they are unable to access the devices that contain digital assets.
Of course, there's also the idea that digitals assets are bound to dump when there uncertain events around the war, and people are quick to make what they deem to be the "best decision" for their money.
Predictions
There won't be any
I try not to make predictions because they may be emotional rather than realistic, which can be disappointing. I like to just spend time analyzing and listening to OGs who knows the market better, then comparing and contrasting.
I am not making decisions based on anyone else's thoughts; instead, I am taking the time to listen to what many would consider "alleged crypto OGs." Another reason I am doing this is to see who will eventually turn out to be correct, or if no one will be correct at all.
Finally
Whatever happens in this cycle may not predict what happens when the next bear cycle hits in 2027, but I believe that many people who took the time to learn in 2025 (rather than being emotional) will be able to manage their emotions well in the next cycle.
So, whatever you do, continue to study the market's patterns and compare them to the previous cycle. Now is not the time to be completely scared and emotional; it will not change what happens.
The market will do whatever it pleases whenever it wants, so I think this is new the reality. However, we still continue to remain hopeful. Goodluck to everyone, and may the best few months favor us all.
Interested in some more of my posts