I have completed more than 100 days in this "Glorious and Successful Steemit Community", and given the events "of worrying nerves" that have occurred in recent days, it is essential to carry out a new analysis with data, information and statistics gathered; However, I acknowledge my painful ignorance on the subject, but still consider it important to contribute my new "Chaotic Predictive Analysis", loaded with faith and seeking the benefit of everyone.

Preliminarily, I notice that a contradictory question arises in my mind, because coldly analyzing the facts, information, data and statistics, it is denoted that from various extremes we are receiving excellent positive news; However, why do almost all cryptocurrencies show strange movements and lower their price, especially for the case that concerns us: STEEM, SBD and Bitcoin?

Certainly, the answer and the supporting arguments are not so simple to issue; but, I do have an approximate declarative, very logical and obvious; and to explain in detail, I summarize it in four items:

Koreans

According to my "Prospective and Chaotic Analysis", the incessant and speculative market of cryptocurrencies is based on the psychological contradictions of the masses; Therefore, apparently the best thing that can be done to earn a lot of money is to go against the crowd, especially if we like the nervous cumshots of others, while we are on the lookout, with a high adrenaline load during the wait; similar to the big bets that are made, with much risk of losing everything.

In this context, as "good analysts", we must "monitor" the schizophrenic manipulative movements of the great speculators, who have now been joined by a "strong" variable, in terms of great competition to consider, constituted by the Koreans markets (Steem is quoted on the Korean UPBIT site, with a volume much higher than that of Bittrex, and is currently with a total close to 43% share).

The downside of the matter is that in recent days there has been a temporary ban on Koreans "traders" by the government of Korea (I do not know yet if they are the two Koreas or it is only North Korea or South Korea); to automatically generate a large destabilization in the market, which in turn degenerated in the current difficult time of decline in the value of almost all cryptocurrencies and particularly of STEEM, SBD and Bitcoin.

My ignorant concern is based on the analytical limbo of the temporal and spatial, not being able to check some presumptively false news about the closure of the Korean traders, and the issuance of some prohibition laws. Therefore, I have to assume that due to the uncertainty with the Koreans, both the past and the following days appear to be very negative for all (an issue that really is not so true).

That is, the fall in the prices of SBD, STEEM and Bitcoin are partly due to news apparently generated from South Korea, according to which the government intends to prohibit the trade of cryptocurrencies; therefore, the South Korean stock markets were automatically rejected, resulting in a sharp decrease in the volumes traded, to successively cause a large number of sales and many impressionable and fearful people, led by panic joined to sell, with the Obvious result of the great fall that has been raised in prices.

However, in honor of the reality of cause and effect, and although they are very obvious the numbers in red marking the sustained fall; already a kind of "bypass" to the prohibitions is observed and at the latest next week, the Koreans will come with more energy, by the same routes or by the "green roads" to influence a new rise of the cryptocurrencies, especially of the STEEM and the SBD. The best? Take advantage of the current low prices to buy and of course not to sell, until the new rise that will surely happen soon, and will be long before the 8 day from the date of this publication.

Whales

Added to the "damaging" immediate effects caused by the Koreans, are the "best invisible Masters" in strategies to earn money in the cryptocurrency market, represented by the Whales, which in many ways have managed to consolidate as the generators or initiators of large speculative movements; therefore, currently in my complex and perhaps absurd understanding of the modalities of the whales, I consider them as my second variable to evaluate in this analysis.

In this context, for no one is it a secret that the Whales tend to obtain great profits speculating or managing at their whim the "wild west" that means the market of cryptocurrencies; and according to the data I manage (evidently they also have them), we know that in the coming days, a great rebound of Bitcoin will occur, and with this "pump" the necessary bullish push will be propitiated, for which the Bitcoin could easily touch the ceiling of 25 thousand US$.

What does this mean? Simple, the Whales initially sell their positions in SBD and STEEM (causing a lot of supply, and low demand = low prices) to get fresh money and alternatively buy many Bitcoins at low prices and thus promote the rise automatically, causing a speculative hike, which consequently, it will drag almost all the AltCoins upwards (between these SBD and STEEM).

That is, taking into account what the whales are doing right now, and knowing in advance the future results that will originate their current movements, I must infer that there is no need to panic to go to sell quickly because, that is very good news, although currently not yet seen, the announced increase in the prices of both Bitcoin and the Altcoins.

Speculators Facing the "Retail Lambs"

In my humble opinion, the worst thing that a simple "retailer" can do is to follow the game to the speculators, because those activities will represent irremediable and notable losses for themselves.

Consequently, it is inferred that anyone who, by necessity or other cause, acts as "meek lamb" will be "hauled" at all times to the "corral of the losers", following nervously, with panic and "posteriori" all movements that the speculators, to become a loser by nature, because "who plays by necessity, loses by obligation."

Then, it seems evident that one of the foolish causes of the red numbers, represented in the steep drop in the current prices of STEEM, SBD and Bitcoin, is the fault of all the other "Ignorant Meek Retailer Lambs" who have panicked, for Run to sell their Bitcoin and Altcoins possessions.

Therefore, it is suggested that for now we should not sell our STEEM or the SBD, although in the short term we could get to see "panic" prices lower than 5 US$ and perhaps reach a floor of 2 US$; because that will only mean the prelude to a big rebound, like the obvious "before" of the "Pump" with a strong impulse necessary to reach a new maximum high price of both the SBD and the STEEM, which I insist on my calculations that could exceed the historical 15 US$ and perhaps even skimming that big ceiling of 20 US$.

On the other hand, I also insist that I have no doubt about the expected "hardfork", which I am sure I am already on track and possibly will be "linked and binding" to the "old SBD and STEEM and the US$" to protect Steemit and his users and to improve the rewards for publications.

Facts of the Steemit Ecosystem

As a primary fact, I must clarify that both the SBD and the STEEM, have maintained a recurring behavior of ups and downs without many upsets, because when exponential movements have been presented, a few days the natural "flattening" occurs, to give as a global result a harmonious sustained growth.

That is, in the statistical reality it is observed that both cryptocurrencies are a bit more secure and stable than most other Altcoins, and even that Bitcoin itself.

EXAMPLE METAPHORICAL PERSPECTIVE: Pessimists: "Half empty bottle", true argument. Optimists: "Half bottle full", is also a true argument. Reality: "A certain amount of liquid content that must or can be appreciated, ingested and enjoyed according to the taste that is perceived or can cause"; so why complicate with "valid arguments or not"?

In November both STEEM and SBD were below 1 US$ and currently with the disturbing "numbers in panic red" are above 6 US$ (gain over 500% in less than 2 months). Similar analysis you can perform for the case of Bitcoin in the last three months. So: Where is the "loss"?

In this sense, in the second order I indicate and acknowledge that obviously we all want to earn more, in fact I "grotesquely" wish at this moment, have more than one million SBD and STEEM and that their prices exceed one million US$; Do you not want something similar or perhaps to a lesser extent?

Desire and reality, usually do not match, therefore we must be clear on that; and the fact is better appreciated if we analyze it as it is "defined" STEEM and SBD, which "must" have a "nominal value of 1 US$"; So, how bad is it that its "low" value is 7, 6, 5, 4, 3 or maybe 2 US$ in the worst case scenario? (I doubt it reaches such "low" levels).

I do not think that anything is particularly bad, which is why we should enjoy it comfortably, based on the proper "rewards" obtained with our publications.

In the third place, there is an almost subtle situation and for those who did not realize it, I inform you of a recent event that happened almost unnoticed, in terms of the market, which happened when "steem" made a "massive collection" of the SP delegates to almost all the users of steemit, and some of us "suffered" the loss of 100% of the delegated SP, others 50% and the "most fortunate" only took a small percentage of SP; values that in basic procedure ("steem" does not require the rigid protocols that apply to us simple users) is converted immediately into STEEM and SBD to be injected into the market, causing an oversupply and the natural fall in observed prices for the aforementioned cryptocurrencies.

Finally, I ¿"stress"? that if in any month and until November of last year, the STEEM and SBD were located at 2 US$, everyone would have been very happy and pleased "making parties", speaking well of the benefits of Steemit and its valuable cryptocurrencies (at that time the value was less than 0.9 $ with apparent and "worrying for many" downward trend).

Volatile memory of many who apparently have already become accustomed to the "classic and desired ceiling" of 10 US$ for SBD or STEEM and then today fall into "panic" for these natural or temporary losses suffered, for previously detailed and anothers reasons.

So, I insist that in Steemit, STEEM or SBD today nothing is different from the past, except for the obvious improvements and progress achieved by all, because nothing here has really gotten worse, on the contrary everything is improving and the many tests I refer to, including YOU Same, friend reader on Steemit.

Conclusion

My "Prospective and Chaotic Forecast", is still based on the same premises of November of 2017, and in the analyzes that I have presented recently, therefore I highlight:

.- The market for cryptocurrencies is highly apparent and 90% speculative; and both the STEEM and SBD cryptocurrencies do not escape of this reality.

.- In spite of the presumable red numbers of alarm or panic that at times is observed in the face of falling prices; by "theory of chaos" I infer that an upward trend is maintained, which due to "short-sightedness" may not be seen yet, but it will become more evident in the near future, after the necessary flattening that occurs at this time and the calm that it is required after the stampede of the "ignorant psycho manipulable lambs" that were left behind and allow themselves to be carried away by nervousness, panic and blind follow-up of speculative movements, such as irrational masses.

.- By overcoming the current pitfalls the Koreans will return to continue setting the speculation guidelines in the prices of SBD, STEEM and Bitcoin.

.- After taking the big profits made by most of the whales, there is a natural normalization of their activities, which will positively influence to reflect in the market, with a moderate increase in the price of the SBD (it will remain the benchmark of reference and exchange a Flat and Bitcoin, external to Steemit) and STEEM (for consumption and internal exchange in Steemit and in some cases by Bitcoin).

.- In summary, I am again going against the pessimistic current of the majority, even if they are apparently "realistic" because of the alleged negative results that currently appear; but, based on my Analytical "FAITH", I am 99% sure that my inferences are correct and therefore I know that this is the best time to invest in the low prices of cryptocurrencies, especially in SBD, STEEM and Bitcoin, because the "price rise" is very close, to reach gains that will surpass an immediate 50%, in the near future (before 15 days have elapsed, after this publication was made).

NOTE NECESSARY: All information, numbers and words expressed here are completely for my humble personal consumption, which I simply want to share; but, I am NOT giving financial advice, nor investment advice to ANYONE. If you take them, leave them, ignore them or handle them or not depending on what is expressed here it will be under your ABSOLUTE RESPONSIBILITY.