<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[RSS Feed]]></title><description><![CDATA[RSS Feed]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com</link><image><url>http://direct.ecency.com/logo512.png</url><title>RSS Feed</title><link>http://direct.ecency.com</link></image><generator>RSS for Node</generator><lastBuildDate>Mon, 04 May 2026 12:25:20 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="http://direct.ecency.com/@normanfenton/rss" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><item><title><![CDATA[Bayes, Likelihood ratio and DNA evidence]]></title><description><![CDATA[This 28 min lecture (which I gave at the 2021 US National Forensic College meeting in New York) provides an introductory overview of Bayes and likelihood ratios and looks at its use in DNA evidence]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/bayes/@normanfenton/bayes-likelihood-ratio-and-dna-evidence</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/bayes/@normanfenton/bayes-likelihood-ratio-and-dna-evidence</guid><category><![CDATA[bayes]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[normanfenton]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 24 Feb 2022 19:40:27 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Routine censorship of dissenting voices]]></title><description><![CDATA[Given the current scale of censorship against anybody who challenges the 'accepted narrative' (epecially on Covid), the following updates aren't especially significant; but as these two emails landed in]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/censorship/@normanfenton/routine-censorship-of-dissenting-voices</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/censorship/@normanfenton/routine-censorship-of-dissenting-voices</guid><category><![CDATA[censorship]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[normanfenton]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 16 Feb 2022 13:45:36 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.ecency.com/p/YpihifdXP4WNbGMdjw7e3DuhJWBvCw4SfuLZsrnJYHEpsqZFkiGGNCQF5qvv31h5PFMbaCTLPNzsGBSXgPrv419MngMVqFHeq6Pdny95BN3kiQwNFWX83tzjzEfLNKMn63CBhND46HWetrcNfY4mXmKSjv743fvjhsmycfQGjabp?format=match&amp;mode=fit" length="0" type="false"/></item><item><title><![CDATA[Computing years of lost life: why actuaries really need to be able to do counterfactual reasoning ]]></title><description><![CDATA[Hugh Osmond recently put out this interesting twitter thread: Although the average age of death in the UK is around 82, if a person reaches 82 then on average (i.e. without knowing any details of]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/covid/@normanfenton/computing-years-of-lost-life-why-actuaries-really-need-to-be-able-to-do-counterfactual-reasoning</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/covid/@normanfenton/computing-years-of-lost-life-why-actuaries-really-need-to-be-able-to-do-counterfactual-reasoning</guid><category><![CDATA[covid]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[normanfenton]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 24 Jan 2022 20:44:42 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.ecency.com/p/7YHZyBadGPMGK4RDj4MUQPiF7U7WjRvw88k7q1qR3yKVNMiAruWowPfAsCaWLYAnSVKucAjyn77WxJ5WLcfXJaNz9vuo765xLp4zGTWLbw3Bae5QdHkAkrwb5CD1jEbkiwsBbD47MeVyqWC8oMqpLEsNrNxTgpVsmiaQ3mp1HtXXLEXEMAnWoSeq9GBCDCAL2VPfzeXrFyNzQX2L28rCALXoqJ7RxSrcoHMvABRwSxQaBeR5HS83R2Jse16Q4B9Y1MEKsoykbBqiZKKuLPBQZmrTbKP63CKuyPx31X9tWojPuijEVgFKUxVBgAnNN9ci3mj826AyX5Svc73FTYy?format=match&amp;mode=fit" length="0" type="false"/></item><item><title><![CDATA[Evaluation of vaccine efficacy and safety must take account of early treatments]]></title><description><![CDATA[We've been focusing on all-cause mortality as the key indicator of vaccine safety and effectiveness: if, for a particular age group over a reasonable period of time, the number of all-cause deaths (i.e.]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/covid/@normanfenton/evaluation-of-vaccine-efficacy-and-safety-must-take-account-of-early-treatments</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/covid/@normanfenton/evaluation-of-vaccine-efficacy-and-safety-must-take-account-of-early-treatments</guid><category><![CDATA[covid]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[normanfenton]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 06 Jan 2022 23:43:33 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.ecency.com/p/YpihifdXP4WNbGMdjw7e3DuhJWBvCw4SfuLZsrnJYHEpsqZFkiGGNCQF5qvv31h5PFMbaCTLPNzsgZdevnx2zYbi2wn2vCvqHwTMXsgQQGBMPKwy5t5VTDrp4MsRbVnwMmRycHLDt4X6nUBJ1RyaJ1gRyidkpjenANJWCWBU9q8a?format=match&amp;mode=fit" length="0" type="false"/></item><item><title><![CDATA[No fancy statistics: a simple plot of vaccination rate against Covid death rate for all countries in the world]]></title><description><![CDATA[Using the "Our Word in Data" website we have extracted the latest snapshot for each country of total vaccinations per hundred people and total 'covid deaths' per million. The full data by country - in]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/hive-196427/@normanfenton/no-fancy-statistics-a-simple-plot-of-vaccination-rate-against-covid-death-rate-for-all-countries-in-the-world</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/hive-196427/@normanfenton/no-fancy-statistics-a-simple-plot-of-vaccination-rate-against-covid-death-rate-for-all-countries-in-the-world</guid><category><![CDATA[hive-196427]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[normanfenton]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 03 Jan 2022 22:50:24 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.ecency.com/p/7YHZyBadGPMGK4RDj4MUQPiF7U7WjRvw88k7q1qR3yKVNMiAruWowPfAsCaWLYAnSVKucAgcuCAUMgQrmBXJsE9t5jFFiEMkFxCT21FoyaoQULdeCKmPcGitZHRkFY983kGZRFgNwqVSqP3JY7h9kYmpqGk2wnEgPBJUdPtbinaJi68pE4RkPPonCNfmJV2NSczQEfZxbcMvqpjUeqm4ZJUxkVk9KZBLz51zor1djBXHURbzkmU1VdDKz5VLtLCrjv53homhVfqbtx2qJTB2yiWRkB7YQ7UnCCfMoosHSazEWc4qCizRzM7wHZzu6DCbaL8vshiujpRPQ1NpJe3?format=match&amp;mode=fit" length="0" type="false"/></item><item><title><![CDATA[New ONS report on deaths by vaccination: serious anomalies and further obfuscation]]></title><description><![CDATA[The latest ONS report on deaths by vaccination status has serious anomalies (as in their previous report which we analysed in this paper). The most obvious one is that their analysis claims age standardized]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/hive-196427/@normanfenton/new-ons-report-on-deaths-by-vaccination-serious-anomalies-and-further-obfuscation</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/hive-196427/@normanfenton/new-ons-report-on-deaths-by-vaccination-serious-anomalies-and-further-obfuscation</guid><category><![CDATA[hive-196427]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[normanfenton]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 24 Dec 2021 15:41:03 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.ecency.com/p/7YHZyBadGPMGK4RDj4MUQPiF7U7WjRvw88k7q1qR3yKVNMiAruWowPfAsCaWLYAnSVKuc9bVsxB38dLmx7VKXdLWcYvRH1W2iSkjXqkvRJFAxbZTbAF9x5ziwpEs5m6vu8LPnmBog6b4oMGPvYgBPKEyCvJwecYF8iVQPFSHxehuwCmjbSpzo2yz2aWaNuMtA7VvyRSFh25taGQxpcnuzbEBWZY6tnszb9uH7CcCD5d1v2xUAnyz8zsS1tzvhN2ZZnfAvdEg9qvzJvSaEYawdjupvx51dyg98xVtisLNKMoyQjnDTWFxU7ojoKNGN3SpGSywPYZnQa3sTjTvQdm?format=match&amp;mode=fit" length="0" type="false"/></item><item><title><![CDATA[Concerns about claims of Covid-19 vaccination effectiveness and safety]]></title><description><![CDATA[Our research team have now analysed the ONS England November 2021 mortality data. We conclude that, despite seeming evidence to support vaccine effectiveness, this conclusion is doubtful because of a range]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/hive-196427/@normanfenton/concerns-about-claims-of-covid-19-vaccination-effectiveness-and-safety</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/hive-196427/@normanfenton/concerns-about-claims-of-covid-19-vaccination-effectiveness-and-safety</guid><category><![CDATA[hive-196427]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[normanfenton]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 08 Dec 2021 11:57:06 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Another story of academic corruption relating to Covid data]]></title><description><![CDATA[Ivermectin is an antiparasitic drug that some have claimed is an effective treatment for reducing Covid-19 deaths. Like other potential cheap treatments for Covid-19, the pharma companies producing the]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/hive-163521/@normanfenton/another-story-of-academic-corruption-relating-to-covid-data</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/hive-163521/@normanfenton/another-story-of-academic-corruption-relating-to-covid-data</guid><category><![CDATA[hive-163521]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[normanfenton]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 03 Dec 2021 22:53:27 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.ecency.com/p/YpihifdXP4WNbGMdjw7e3DuhJWBvCw4SfuLZsrnJYHEpsqZFkiGGNCQF5qvv31h5PFMbaCTLPNzrsNoNvDYgLrp9cq4WCbXnqSrzoj7A3NpaV9DwEW9STq7JMyCwuR2rzR6ynjLrKTmxemxkdHoeEpfTry6Aogo1TBKLQ6x1sTjk?format=match&amp;mode=fit" length="0" type="false"/></item><item><title><![CDATA[Possible systematic miscategorisation of vaccine status raises concerns about claims of Covid-19 vaccination effectiveness]]></title><description><![CDATA[  Our research team have now analysed the ONS England November mortality data. We conclude that, despite seeming evidence to support vaccine effectiveness, this conclusion is doubtful because of a]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/hive-163521/@normanfenton/possible-systematic-miscategorisation-of-vaccine-status-raises-concerns-about-claims-of-covid-19-vaccination-effectiveness</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/hive-163521/@normanfenton/possible-systematic-miscategorisation-of-vaccine-status-raises-concerns-about-claims-of-covid-19-vaccination-effectiveness</guid><category><![CDATA[hive-163521]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[normanfenton]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 03 Dec 2021 21:47:09 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.ecency.com/p/8DAuGnTQCLpob2v4c9DfmJohzD8ep1CXcWLFMrYFbP5EU3dZ292PPitrjFfA26DitD8RDXSSfZVsCmPsb1yN4sC7WYz5QqFsL7LjGR5XgTYmEiATGikFiVSUWy1TCc62rrJ6aJBTkUVLcnTx936BQjD1QcTkos8p2JpwQYsqWCN?format=match&amp;mode=fit" length="0" type="false"/></item><item><title><![CDATA[So "1 in 3 with Covid-19 have no symptoms" has been quietly changed to "1 in 7"]]></title><description><![CDATA[Having argued for a long time that the Government's relentless propaganda claim that "1 in 3 people who have Covid-19 have no symptoms" is a scam, I was amazed to come across this BBC article]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/hive-163521/@normanfenton/so-1-in-3-with-covid-19-have-no-symptoms-has-been-quitely-changed-to-1-in-7</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/hive-163521/@normanfenton/so-1-in-3-with-covid-19-have-no-symptoms-has-been-quitely-changed-to-1-in-7</guid><category><![CDATA[hive-163521]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[normanfenton]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 28 Nov 2021 14:47:54 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.ecency.com/p/YpihifdXP4WNbGMdjw7e3DuhJWBvCw4SfuLZsrnJYHEpsqZFkiGGNCQF5qvv31h5PFMbaCTLPNzsgZXMNwc5dtN4SGdcNe62NbfcUkXTn2KYMmK4Jo1L8mSYUs9mYuyrSn5F55jdpDETwm8JmVxaqZo4VHKd7STGaL1GUYX2PPbU?format=match&amp;mode=fit" length="0" type="false"/></item><item><title><![CDATA[Covid-19 lockdowns: do the 'benefits' exceed the 'costs'?]]></title><description><![CDATA[The usual suspects are demanding new lockdowns and removal of civil liberties. So, a reminder that no matter what the risks of #COVID, lockdowns cause much greater destruction. Our risk/analytics work]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/hive-163521/@normanfenton/covid-19-lockdowns-do-the-benefits-exceed-the-costs</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/hive-163521/@normanfenton/covid-19-lockdowns-do-the-benefits-exceed-the-costs</guid><category><![CDATA[hive-163521]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[normanfenton]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 26 Nov 2021 16:29:48 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.ecency.com/p/PB8ro82ZpZP35bVGjGoE93K3E4U5KX8KtMBJ2rh9PeMRwE4uwUbmvhC2pSKuhbNoyfewns3aY5fwegyTsGH1sGKWwLdu3bqvooBtGCkCCnHXnght?format=match&amp;mode=fit" length="0" type="false"/></item><item><title><![CDATA[The European Union's highly misleading chart and message about vaccine effectiveness]]></title><description><![CDATA[The European Commission has just posted this highly misleading chart and accompanying message which suggests that vaccinations drastically reduce the covid death rate. The chart is highly misleading for]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/covid-19/@normanfenton/the-european-unions-highly-misleading-chart-and-message-about-vaccine-effectiveness</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/covid-19/@normanfenton/the-european-unions-highly-misleading-chart-and-message-about-vaccine-effectiveness</guid><category><![CDATA[covid-19]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[normanfenton]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 24 Nov 2021 22:03:30 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.ecency.com/p/YpihifdXP4WNbGMdjw7e3DuhJWBvCw4SfuLZsrnJYHEpsqZFkiGGNCQF5qvv31h5PFMbaCTLPNzsHKmNwC25PK45QhaBmdEK8ijwpU96G1FzdShreTvxXk5eiSiHJEbLbjhTgfzV1kUZjY3BoGdE9VmhDSgMfNVFA389MTPcsSLv?format=match&amp;mode=fit" length="0" type="false"/></item><item><title><![CDATA[Introduce Myself - My first post on Hive]]></title><description><![CDATA[I am Professor of Risk Information Management at Queen Mary University of London and a Director of Agena, a company that specialises in risk management for critical systems. I’m a mathematician by training]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/introduction/@normanfenton/introduce-myself-my-first-post-on-hive</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/introduction/@normanfenton/introduce-myself-my-first-post-on-hive</guid><category><![CDATA[introduction]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[normanfenton]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 24 Nov 2021 15:48:09 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.ecency.com/p/YpihifdXP4WNbGMdjw7e3DuhJWBvCw4SfuLZsrnJYHEpsqZFkiGGNCQF5qvv31h5PFMbaCTLPNzsGBGiUBKqdzbFdwTciENDYnqsez1EP8MLxYy421PpjMMzUFMoLigA3JbAXqhDA87DDUJTYmjjQA4sAvu7VHjJKxsc3DfAPCAJ?format=match&amp;mode=fit" length="0" type="false"/></item></channel></rss>