<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[RSS Feed]]></title><description><![CDATA[RSS Feed]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com</link><image><url>http://direct.ecency.com/logo512.png</url><title>RSS Feed</title><link>http://direct.ecency.com</link></image><generator>RSS for Node</generator><lastBuildDate>Tue, 21 Apr 2026 15:25:57 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="http://direct.ecency.com/@pasha-kamyshev/rss" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><item><title><![CDATA[Better Estimates of Covid19 death rates]]></title><description><![CDATA[What is the real death rate of Covid-19? I want to estimate the per-age fatality rate of different countries: China, South Korea and Italy. South Korea has 72 deaths and 8086 cases for an overall CFR of]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/covid19/@pasha-kamyshev/better-estimates-of-covid19-death-rates</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/covid19/@pasha-kamyshev/better-estimates-of-covid19-death-rates</guid><category><![CDATA[covid19]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[pasha-kamyshev]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 14 Mar 2020 23:35:15 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.ecency.com/p/C3TZR1g81UNaPs7vzNXHueW5ZM76DSHWEY7onmfLxcK2iNqBpH1fX92Dx516mKgTPahKRHZ3QQ5CoFea63HbEgaQnBFfmdMWTR9stCJFn7c8psHBwGWpvXY?format=match&amp;mode=fit" length="0" type="false"/></item><item><title><![CDATA[Basic Coronavirus Predictions]]></title><description><![CDATA[Attempting to predict things is hard, especially about the future. Right now I am doing some very rough estimates of where I expect things to be in two weeks. (on 3/22/2020) South Korea: The outbreak in]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/coronavirus/@pasha-kamyshev/basic-coronavirus-predictions</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/coronavirus/@pasha-kamyshev/basic-coronavirus-predictions</guid><category><![CDATA[coronavirus]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[pasha-kamyshev]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 09 Mar 2020 02:02:36 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[Post-Rationality and Rationality, A Dialogue]]></title><description><![CDATA[A dialogue between R (rationalist) and P (post-rationalist) Any resemblance of these fictional characters to real people is not a coincidence because nothing is ever really a coincidence. R: I sincerely]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/rationality/@pasha-kamyshev/post-rationality-and-rationality-a-dialogue</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/rationality/@pasha-kamyshev/post-rationality-and-rationality-a-dialogue</guid><category><![CDATA[rationality]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[pasha-kamyshev]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 12 Nov 2018 07:17:12 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.ecency.com/p/C3TZR1g81UNaPs7vzNXHueW5ZM76DSHWEY7onmfLxcK2iPUaPd47s4FLP42zn6VMAV1jRHahMvXuMubMduwwk8mj7KWK8W2P1gsRTBMeFXZzW9GrA9wE2hC?format=match&amp;mode=fit" length="0" type="false"/></item><item><title><![CDATA[Aumann’s Agreement Revisited]]></title><description><![CDATA[This post is about reviewing some of the slightly counter-intuitive conclusions that Baysean probability theory has on agreement between people’s probabilities about the same belief. You have probably]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/rationality/@pasha-kamyshev/aumann-s-agreement-revisited</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/rationality/@pasha-kamyshev/aumann-s-agreement-revisited</guid><category><![CDATA[rationality]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[pasha-kamyshev]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 27 Aug 2018 06:05:54 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.ecency.com/p/C3TZR1g81UNaPs7vzNXHueW5ZM76DSHWEY7onmfLxcK2iPZFeBTXvkJ5NqhQUZK8tzJrzPvGzMxHLign1P7jbw2RPAC3fnysBkGWcHbnfh1EZS1e27kKRv6?format=match&amp;mode=fit" length="0" type="false"/></item><item><title><![CDATA[Double Cruxing the AI Foom debate]]></title><description><![CDATA[This post is generally in response to both Paul Christiano’s post and the original foom debate. I am trying to find the exact circumstances and conditions which would point to fast or slow AI takeoff.]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/ai/@pasha-kamyshev/double-cruxing-the-ai-foom-debate</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/ai/@pasha-kamyshev/double-cruxing-the-ai-foom-debate</guid><category><![CDATA[ai]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[pasha-kamyshev]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 27 Apr 2018 06:14:09 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.ecency.com/p/2gsjgna1uruvUuS7ndh9YqVwYGPLVszbFLwwpAYXZ17T14EFHrspmK6Ex7krHZdQ4EsghpD2XP5CY2sDokmDtxndYCNDjssF9YCUghHNytGFddeVkr?format=match&amp;mode=fit" length="0" type="false"/></item><item><title><![CDATA[Fermi Paradox]]></title><description><![CDATA[This post has two parts. First, I outline some way to evaluate arguments about the Fermi paradox which show ways that it is unlikely to be solved by, as well as some common arguments against the Early]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/fermiparadox/@pasha-kamyshev/fermi-paradox</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/fermiparadox/@pasha-kamyshev/fermi-paradox</guid><category><![CDATA[fermiparadox]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[pasha-kamyshev]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 22 Apr 2018 00:42:15 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.ecency.com/p/2gsjgna1uruvUuS7ndh9YqVwYGPLVszbFLwwpAYXYrcgU3Du4NbDddodFo6qbAQvid7t7WTU1yP8wY6bVZ8xBqTtkHoqUrUeDa7pBRs18FxrH7sFoL?format=match&amp;mode=fit" length="0" type="false"/></item><item><title><![CDATA[Efficient Market Hypothesis Explained]]></title><description><![CDATA[You may have not have heard about the Efficient Markets Hypothesis or wondered how it would apply to different assets classes. However, if you have been in investing, you probably have heard at least some]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/cryptocurrency/@pasha-kamyshev/efficient-market-hypothesis-explained</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/cryptocurrency/@pasha-kamyshev/efficient-market-hypothesis-explained</guid><category><![CDATA[cryptocurrency]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[pasha-kamyshev]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 18 Feb 2018 21:38:36 GMT</pubDate></item><item><title><![CDATA[On Crypto and The Classification Bubble]]></title><description><![CDATA[The post "How an Algorithm Feels from the Inside” is one the highlights of rationality. It has a lot packed into it, so here is my take on it. There is a program in your brain. I call it]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/cryptocurrency/@pasha-kamyshev/on-crypto-and-the-classification-bubble</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/cryptocurrency/@pasha-kamyshev/on-crypto-and-the-classification-bubble</guid><category><![CDATA[cryptocurrency]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[pasha-kamyshev]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 29 Jan 2018 04:38:33 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.ecency.com/p/2gsjgna1uruvUuS7ndh9YqVwYGPLVszbFLwwpAYXZu5dX5PZBXqQSWVm3Xn6iemZBytKp68ggtRmn4sjDpvPpn3ea5UoexHVKg7d4yhxseyHNEpZae?format=match&amp;mode=fit" length="0" type="false"/></item><item><title><![CDATA[Introduction]]></title><description><![CDATA[Hello, my name is Pasha. I am a software developer currently at Microsoft interested in cryptocurrency, rationality and AI Safety. My links: Life In A Free Market Twitter LinkedIn All opinions are my own]]></description><link>http://direct.ecency.com/introduction/@pasha-kamyshev/introduction</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://direct.ecency.com/introduction/@pasha-kamyshev/introduction</guid><category><![CDATA[introduction]]></category><dc:creator><![CDATA[pasha-kamyshev]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 29 Jan 2018 04:21:39 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.ecency.com/p/2gsjgna1uruvUuS7ndh9YqVwYGPLVszbFLwwpAYXYSvRxx1jKiRgpunoWMHgDcCZNMG3ujipRrzdQnCazjdEUrsPs4vSS5MuvK5Rf7iejXhpmXvo3L?format=match&amp;mode=fit" length="0" type="false"/></item></channel></rss>