So far everyone I've talked to agrees that 2025 is a peak year (2013,2017,2021,2025), but the hopium is that the peak will be later in the year at much higher prices.
I think the probability of that is less than 50% of this point. The second half of the year is when all the bad news starts to come out, and even if the Fed floods the system with liquidity, that's a 2026 boom (for the stock market).
I think Bob Loukas nailed this cycle. Took profits, and now he can sit pretty whether or not we keep running.
My hyper-technical-analysis
We could have been at SP 500 6,700 right now, BTC 150K right now, DOGE $1 right now, even XDC pumping right now (not some bullshit pump but an actual altseason).
But this was taken away from us because of one gay retard called Peter Navarro. I hope Elon Musk spinning elbows him (in the face).
I've seen literally hundreds of dudes over the past 3 years declare that a massive pump is right around the corner.
The truth is they are all extremely gay because of the basic crypto rotation logic.
First bitcoin pumps, then the large altcoins pump, and then the small altcoins pump.
To expect any tiny altcoin to pump before something like DOGE makes a new all-time high makes no sense.
Don't expect any small altcoin to start pumping before the larger altcoins are making new all-time highs.