到了年底,生活节奏突然变得紧张起来了。除了日常学习、写作之外,每天还有做不完的工作。这周要去成都、重庆拜访客户,推广物联网平台,下周要去深圳参加客户见面会宣传我对未来的一些思考和实践。成都、重庆都是不错的地方,后面几天我会写一些在成都、重庆好玩的事情。今天提前和大家聊一聊下周客户见面会的内容。这次客户见面会一如既往遵循了我的风格,我喜欢给大家讲一些有价值的技术。本次客户见面会的主题是未来已来。
By the end of the year, the pace of life suddenly became tense. In addition to study and writing everyday , there is an endless work to do. This week I will go to Chengdu, Chongqing, visit customers, promote my own product-IoT platform, next week I will attend customer meetings and promote my thoughts and practices on the future. Chengdu, Chongqing is a good place, the next few days I will write some fun things in Chengdu, Chongqing. Today, we talk to you in advance the content of the customer meeting next week. This customer meeting will follow my style as always, and I like to give you some valuable techniques. The theme of this customer meeting is the future is coming.
在中国今天这样一个大环境下,成功是一个大概率事件。如果没有,一定是认知出了问题。很多人对未来充满了焦虑,核心的原因是看不清楚社会发展趋势。每天被大量的信息所包围,分不清楚那些是真那些是假。成天忙着了解各种小道消息,生怕自己错过什么。
In China, success is a high probability event. If not, we must be have some problems about cognition . Many people are full of anxiety about the future, the core reason is that they can not see the social development trend. Every day is surrounded by a lot of information, can not distinguish truth and fake.
今天我就与大家谈谈我对未来社会发展的理解,希望能够起到抛砖引玉的作用。
Today I will talk with you about my understanding of future social development .
首先,我们先看看互联网发展的历程。截止目前互联网经历了三个阶段的发展。
First, let's take a look at the history of the Internet. Up to now the Internet has experienced three stages of development.
第一个阶段,人类只是通过互联网发布一些文字性的新闻、资讯,这个阶段互联网本身的价值不是太大,是现实世界的一个补充而已。
In the first stage, mankind just released some textual news and information through the Internet. At this stage, the value of the Internet itself is not too large and is a supplement to the real world.
第二阶段,互联网进入到了分享阶段,微博、博客、QQ空间等代表性的互联网应用把很多人连接到了互联网世界,这个阶段一部分崇尚新生事物的人开始向互联网迁移。
The second phase, the Internet has entered a sharing stage, blogs, QQ space and other representative Internet applications to connect many people to the Internet world, this stage, only new people migrate to the Internet.
第三个阶段,得益于移动互联网的发展,智能手机、平板电脑的兴起,让更多人的用户迁移到了互联网。现在的人类已经离不开互联网,滴滴出行、共享单车、微信支付、支付宝、外卖、房屋买卖、淘宝、天猫、京东、微商 、阿里巴巴等等,互联网已经覆盖到了生活的方方面面。
The third stage, thanks to the development of mobile Internet, the rise of smart phones, tablet PCs, so that more people have moved to the Internet users. Today's human beings are inseparable from the Internet, dripping travel, sharing cycling, WeChat payment, Alipay, housing transactions, Taobao, Jingdong, micro-business, Alibaba, etc., the Internet has covered all aspects of life.
随着物联网、大数据、 增强现实、人工智能、区块链等技术的发展,这个趋势还在加速蔓延,未来30年人类社会将会发生天翻地覆的变化,未来5-10年人类将会完成从现实世界到互联网世界的大规模迁徙,对是迁徙,不是迁移。据2016年统计,全球互联网用户数超30亿,中国高达6.68亿,而且这个数字还在保持高速增长,尤其是在亚太地区,中国、印度的增速相当惊人。
With the development of technologies such as Internet of Things, big data, augmented reality, artificial intelligence and blockchain, this trend is still accelerating. In the next 30 years human society will undergo tremendous changes. In the next 5 to 10 years, mankind will complete Massive migration from the real world to the Internet world According to the statistics in 2016, the number of Internet users in the world surpassed 3 billion and the number in China is as high as 668 million. This number is still growing at a rapid rate. In the Asia Pacific region in particular, the growth rate in China and India is quite impressive.
截止现在,互联网的发展已经有点普适计算(ubiquitous)的感觉了。普适计算会让互联网覆盖到任何时间、任何地点。相对台式电脑,普适计算可以使用任何设备,在任何地方,通过任何形式使用到互联网,用户可以通过台式电脑、平板电脑、智能手机,包括智能家电、可穿戴设备等任何设备与互联网进行交互。
As of now, the Internet has been somewhat ubiquitous. Pervasive computing will allow the Internet coverage to any time, any place. Relative to desktop computers, pervasive computing can use any device, anywhere and through any form of internet access, allowing users to interact with the Internet from any device such as desktops, tablets, smartphones, smart appliances, wearables, and more.
在AR里有这样一个应用场景,我们去书店买书,如果你想知道这本书的书评,无需打开手机进行搜索,通过AR眼镜你直接可以在书皮上看到豆瓣的相关评论,根据评论决定是否购买。
In the AR there is such a scenario, we go to the bookstore to buy the book, if you want to know the book reviews, without having to open the phone to search through AR glasses you can directly see the watercress on the book cover the relevant comments, according to the comments to decide whether buy.
人工智能音箱,其实就是一机器人,一个懂你的机器人,可以根据你的生活习惯帮你搞定所以的事情。比如:到了起床时间,智能音箱会自动播放你喜欢的音乐叫醒你;快下班了,人工智能音箱会自动帮你做好美味的晚餐;睡觉前,人工智能音箱会自动帮你搞定热水......
Artificial intelligence speaker, in fact, is a robot, a robot that understands your life, you can get it done according to your lifestyle so things. For example: to get up, smart speakers will automatically play your favorite music to wake you; fast off, artificial intelligence speakers will help you to do a delicious dinner; before going to bed, the artificial intelligence speaker will automatically help you get the hot water. .....
在普适计算里,云计算、物联网、人工智能、区块链等技术会将互联网渗透到社会的方方面面。
In pervasive computing, technologies such as cloud computing, the Internet of Things, artificial intelligence, and blockchain will infiltrate the Internet into every aspect of society.
云计算的诞生,使得原来信息化建设需要投资巨额费用进行机房建设、软件开发变的更加简单。现在不管是企业,还是个人,我们都可以非常方便的使用阿里云、百度云、腾讯云、亚马逊云进行自己的信息化系统的搭建,根本无需进行机房建设,同时这些云根据用户需求提供了不同档次的软硬件服务,使得原本需要高额成本开发的软件变的异常简单。不管是基础的操作系统、数据库、中间件,还是高大上的人工智能、大数据基础服务,云端都给你统统提供,对于一般用户只需直接使用即可。云的发展大大提升了信息化建设的进度,降低了信息化投入的成本,使得更多企业、个人都可以参与到互联网服务的浪潮中,为普适计算打下了坚实的基础。
The birth of cloud computing, making the original construction of the need to invest huge amounts of money for computer room construction, software development becomes more simple. Now whether it is business or personal, we can very easily use Aliyun, Baidu cloud, Tencent cloud, Amazon cloud to build their own information system, there is no need for room construction, at the same time these clouds provide different according to user needs Grade hardware and software services, making the original need for high-cost software development becomes very simple. Whether it is based on the operating system, database, middleware, or artificial intelligence, big data infrastructure services, the cloud will give you all to provide, for the average user can simply use. The development of the cloud greatly enhances the progress of information construction and reduces the cost of information input, enabling more enterprises and individuals to participate in the wave of Internet services and laying a solid foundation for pervasive computing.
人工智能这几年的发展已经超过了我们的想象力,DeepMind深度学习在人工智能算法上的成熟,已经足以改变社会上绝大多数的行业。未来5年,人工智能将会在医疗、媒体、出行、零售、工厂等领域彻底改变人类社会的生产方式。
AI has grown beyond our imagination in recent years. DeepMind's sophistication in AI learning has been enough to change the vast majority of industries in the community. In the next five years, artificial intelligence will revolutionize the way human production is done in the medical, media, travel, retail, and factory sectors.
区块链这项伟大的技术也会在5年内得到快速的应用。除了区块链本身的金融属性之外,区块链分布式存储、账务公开等特点,也会彻底改变我们现在的互联网服务。
Blockchain this great technology will be quickly applied within 5 years. In addition to the financial attributes of the blockchain itself, the characteristics of blockchain distributed storage and account disclosure will completely change our current Internet services.
未来已来,以一个拥抱未来的心态,关注社会变化你一定会有很大的收获。
The future is coming, with a state of mind to embrace the future, attention to social change you will certainly have great gains.