Prediction markets are one of the cleanest ways to turn opinions into measurable conviction. HivePredict brings that model to the Hive blockchain with transparent, on-chain market activity and simple participation using HIVE or HBD.
If you have been curious about HivePredict, this guide covers what it is, how it works, and how to use it step by step.
Hivepredict is built and run by
HivePredict is an on-chain prediction market platform built on Hive.
At a high level:
HivePredict uses a parimutuel model:
All critical market actions are recorded on-chain through Hive operations (transfer + custom_json), while the web app/API index and display that data.
Market creation, predictions, and resolution actions are publicly auditable on Hive.
Winners split a defined distributable pool based on stake share instead of trying to match against counterparties at fixed prices.
Markets use per-account stake caps and eligibility checks to reduce sybil/spam behavior and outsized account dominance.
HivePredict supports:
Most markets move through a predictable lifecycle:
Trading does not run until the exact close timestamp. HivePredict uses an earlier trading cutoff buffer (default model: 5% of market duration, clamped to 3 minutes-72 hours, with category-specific overrides possible).
A market generally activates when it has:
If a pending market reaches close time without meeting requirements, it may be auto-voided and refunded.
HivePredict payout math is pool-based:
distributable = totalPool - platformFee - burnAmount
winnerPayout = distributable * (yourEffectiveStake / totalWinningEffectiveStake)
Default economics:
@null: 5%There is also time weighting on winners:
That means timing affects payout share, not just amount staked.
HivePredict supports login/signing with:
You will use signing to confirm market actions.
Eligibility thresholds are configurable by platform policy. Typical defaults include:
If your account is not eligible yet, HivePredict returns specific reasons.
Go to the Markets page and filter by category/token/status. Open any market to inspect:
Inside a market:
Your prediction is recorded on-chain and appears in market activity once indexed.
If you want to launch a market:
Creator opening bet is required in the current flow, with a minimum configured by platform settings.
Markets resolve either:
After resolution:
@null.If a market is voided/cancelled, stakes are refunded per platform rules.
HivePredict combines blockchain transparency with prediction market mechanics in a way that is easy to use from a web UI while staying grounded in on-chain actions.
If you are new, start by browsing active markets and placing one small prediction. After that, creating a market and defining clear resolution criteria is the best way to understand the full system.
Questions, concerns or feedback? Join the Discord server here: https://discord.gg/8WRFebdYfs
