A lot of people didn't see this coming, but here we are, BTC is now below 70k. 3 months ago, it was chilling at 121k in November and I guess that was actually the top.
The market actually went through way it should, the only difference was that we never had a true alt season.
However it's atypical to see the market capitulate just immediately in the first two months of the year after a true bull market. Usually happens around the 5 to the 7th month and does so slowly.
Of course, the market doesn't always have to resemble or completely mirror the previous cycles, but this is a perfect proof to show that the market might follow a pattern, but not exactly mirror that pattern.
In reality we're already seeing a market pattern that resembles the bear market, and I'm afraid to say that the bear market might have actually began.
I think we might see a few corrections here or there and the market going up a little, but this would follow with crazy sharp dumps that might continue until it stops in 2028, just before the BTC halving.
For me, I think BTC might be staying at 35 to 45k levels by December and possible dump to 30k by the end of 2027, and probably bottom in January 2028. This would mean that the best time to buy BTC would be December 2027, because 2028 will be the year of the halving.
However, I might be wrong and this isn't the beginning of the bear market, but the chances of this being the case is actually very slim and almost unattainable.
This is very likely the beginning of a bear market without an alt season. A friend said to me. Sell whenever there's a pump as there might no longer be a stipulated bull market season anymore. So here's is it.
When we begin to get close to a halving year and you begin to see a significant x10 from a low lows sell and take profit from any alt you hold, because honestly. "Why did you sell" is always going to be better than "why didn't you sell?" Once again, this is another dimensional shift to how the market now works, and we have to play the game.
Of course, alt will pump.. timing might be shorter, maybe one to two months, but they definitely will and we just have to wait, prepare, sell, take profit and buy back when it's lower again.
Unfortunately this might take 2 years before it eventually happens again, because the chances that the bear season is here is 99%