AI triggering a recession due to job losses means it actually ends up doing what the developers and the corporations behind it (nvidia, etc.) say it will. If it ends up not meeting expectations or takes much longer to implement then the impact may be reduced to one degree or another. I don't think anyone really knows right now. Trade war I agree is a concern too, though that is also tough to predict both on timing and on extent of impact. And there does exist the possibility that it may have some positive outcome over the longer term view, especially for the united states. In the end we're all just spectators for the most part. This is not about recession, but about the destruction of the Western economy by China with the help of dark factories (fully automated manufacturing facilities that operate without human workers or traditional lighting. These factories, powered by artificial intelligence (AI), robotics, and advanced sensors).
Products from these factories cannot be challenged by anyone at this time (0 salaries, minimum labour cost, production can be completed stop any time and resumed when the cost of raw terracore matures or electrification is low). We have waited too long to implement AI + robots - automation in economics.
Only tariffs and commercial war can delay the disaster until such factories are created.