Hello fellow Steemians,
In a normal (U.S. economy) situation I would say the current drums of war are bluffs by the Trump administration and the Pyongyang totalitarian regime. However, we are far from a normal situation, the U.S economy has stagnated and its overdue for a recession after 9 years of a phony recovery fueled by quantitative easing (AKA money printing by the FED). So far, Trump’s efforts to “drain the swamp” and repeal Obamacare have pretty much stalled. At some point something’s got to give and someone’s going to have to bear the blame…
These are the reasons I believe war may happen this time:
- The U.S Stock market can’t remain bullish any longer propped up by easy money and bookkeeping tricks, chickens are due back to roost. A diversion to the current situation is badly needed. These diversionary wars are common in history.
Despite all its apparent brawn and bluffing, North Korea is a very weak adversary to the U.S. military. Their military equipment is antiquated, their officers corrupt and not so willing to die for their leader as they were back in the 80’s. Yes, they could land a few artillery rounds in Seoul, South Korea, but the damages and loss of life would not be as serious as most people think. I’ve recently been to the city and every few meters there are subway stations where people can rapidly shelter, they practice this all the time. Material damages would be quickly repaired considering South Korea’s wealth.
North Korea's nuclear capabilities are still very primitive and unreliable, they would likely be intercepted or wouldn't even work in the first place. Plus, they can't really use them because that would mean a complete annihilation of the regime. Kim Jong Un is not as fanatical as his father. He would try to maintain at least a bit of room to negotiate an honorable outcome that keeps him in a position of power. He could get that with conventional war skirmishes along the border, there's no need to go nuclear, enrage the entire world and guarantee the utter destruction of the Kim dynasty.
China has stated they will remain neutral should North Korea attack first. All the U.S. needs at this point is a false flag attack from North Korea. This would be easy to manufacture and feed to the mainstream media or North Korea could even be forced to act first. Source: China neutral if North Korea strikes U.S.: state-run newspaper editorial
Despite what most people think, Trump has non-nuclear options on the table. This is the "fire and fury." he is referring to. Nuclear Weapon technologies are from the 1950’s, a lot of advances have been made in secret military labs ever since... This may be a chance to show off these advances to the world without backlash from the international community for using nuclear weapons.
RODS FROM GOD AKA KINETIC BOMBARDMENT IN ACTION (FICTIONAL)
Donald Trump's warning to North Korea. Notice he is talking about a weapon that produces "Fire and Fury like the world has never seen".
- Japan's Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga has expressed they welcome a strong US response. These are his words "As the security situation in the region becomes increasingly difficult, the US's deterrence capability is extremely important to Japan. The US has said all options are on the table and Japan welcomes this"
Gold and Crypto will soar to the stratosphere. They are both considered safe heaven assets and limited in supply, especially crypto. If there’s war, global recession and a sharp increase in fiat inflation due to Keynesian pumping of the economy we can expect safe heaven prices to increase spectacularly.
Tell me what you think of this post in the comments below.
Do you have a different opinion? Please share it below. I would love to be proven wrong and discuss about it. That way we all gain mighty knowledge :) There’s no censoring here at Steemit my friends!
Extra information:
Kinetic bombardment (Source Wikipedia)
A kinetic bombardment or a kinetic orbital strike is the hypothetical act of attacking a planetary surface with an inert projectile, where the destructive force comes from the kinetic energy of the projectile impacting at very high velocities. The concept originated during the Cold War.
The typical depiction of the tactic is of a satellite containing a magazine of tungsten rods and a directional thrust system. When a strike is ordered, the satellite would brake[1] one of the rods out of its orbit and into a suborbital trajectory that intersects the target. As the rod approaches periapsis and the target due to gravity, it picks up immense speed until it begins decelerating in the atmosphere and reaches terminal velocity shortly before impact. The rods would typically be shaped to minimize air resistance and maximize terminal velocity. In science fiction, the weapon is often depicted as being launched from a spaceship, instead of a satellite.
Kinetic bombardment has the advantage of being able to deliver projectiles from a very high angle at a very high speed, making them extremely difficult to defend against. In addition, projectiles would not require explosive warheads, and—in the simplest designs—would consist entirely of solid metal rods, giving rise to the common nickname "Rods from God".[2] Disadvantages include the technical difficulties of ensuring accuracy and the prohibitively high costs of positioning ammunition in orbit.
The Outer Space Treaty is designed to prohibit weapons of mass destruction in orbit or outer space; however, its text only prohibits nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons. Since the most common form of kinetic ammunition is inert tungsten rods, in most cases, kinetic bombardment is not prohibited by the treaty.
Diversionary war (Source Wikipedia)
A diversionary foreign policy, or a diversionary war, is an International Relations term that identifies a war instigated by a country's leader in order to distract its population from their own domestic strife. The concept stems from the Diversionary War Theory, which states that leaders who are threatened by domestic turmoil occasionally initiate an international conflict in order to shift the nation's attention away from internal troubles. As a result, this external threat would counter the domestic strife and ensure the leader's position in power. Essentially, a diversionary use of force is a manipulation of the Rally Round the Flag Syndrome effect, causing an increase of national fervor from the general public.
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