Bitcoin possible confirmation areas
Last night Bitcoin made very strong and sick moves. The big guys shook off some buy and sell orders and hopefully, now they are satisfied. Like you see on the four-hour chart, one candle range is almost $500, recently this is the biggest shake off that we have seen but let's try to break down the price action and possible confirmations areas.
Currently, we trade on the triangle (black trendlines), the massive candle was below the triangle and it was above the triangle but the close was inside. Actually, this move was pretty good for the technical perspective that this could mean that probably we don't see those fake moves in the near future and technical analysis confirmation areas would be higher accuracy.
At the moment, on the four-hour chart, the price is 'sitting' on the Fibonacci retracement level at 62 percent and below the 50 EMA. Also, all our earlier mentioned level above the current price starts to work as a resistance:
- April low at $6,425
- Strong Resistance at $6,460
- Round number $6,500
- March low at $6,533
If we want to see another leg upwards then firstly, the biggest confirmation would be the upwards breakout from the triangle upper trendline. This is definitely hard to beat because this trendline makes a cross from those resistance levels and also, there is a 100 EMA which starts to work as a resistance but let's watch what we can get from the current levels and we have to take this step-by-step, confirmation after confirmation.
To confirm bearishness then a candle close below the $6,235 will confirm a movement downwards. If we get a candle close around $6,200 then we have a breakout from the triangle and break below the strong support levels.
To make the trades inside the triangle is very risky because we never know when they start to fool us. Be cautious!
Take a look at Ethereum Price Analysis, Sept. 20, 2018
Have a nice day!