I tend to agree with you, but I'm using different analysis. I just posted a video that talks about my idea of Bitcoin as the reserve currency of the crypto world. I think BTC will be above $1,000 within 2 months time.
https://steemit.com/crypto-news/@fiatluxx/ay-caramba-bitcoin-as-reserve-currency-plus-dash-monero-factom-synereo-maidsafe-analysis