SHORT-LIVED
The China Academy of Information and Communications Technology (CAICT) claims that only eight percent of the over 80,000 blockchain projects ever launched is still active today. Furthermore, blockchain projects only average a lifespan of roughly 1.22 years.
At the China International Big Data Industry Expo 2018, He Baohong, the director of CAICT’s Cloud Computing and Big Data Research Institute, explained:
[These projects] came out very quickly, but die quickly as well. In this circumstance, governments globally are accelerating their efforts to establish unified standards in order to help blockchain projects to achieve real-life applications.
The quick death which befalls the vast majority of blockchain projects hasn’t dissuaded private enterprises from taking an interest in the technology made famous by Bitcoin. Explained He Baohong:
We have established verifiable blockchain programs in China, and nearly 200 private enterprises have expressed interests to join. [This] will help blockchain technology and industry to become more transparent and open.
TRASH HEAP
The fact that 92 percent of all blockchain projects fail shouldn’t come as a surprise to anyone who’s ever taken a look at the projects which occupy the latter half of the market capitalization rankings — where absurd, cheap, and fraudulent projects redefining the term “shitcoin” abound.
Failed blockchain projectsImage courtesy of CoinMarketCap.com
Recently, a Wall Street Journal review of 1,450 documents for digital coin offerings unveiled 271 indicators of fraudulent tactics — including “plagiarized investor documents, promises of guaranteed returns and missing or fake executive teams.” Making matters worse, investors have reportedly dumped more than $1 billion into the flagged projects, with $273 million already claimed as losses.
Even high-profile projects like TRON (TRX), the ninth most valuable cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has been accused of plagiarism by many in the blockchain space, including Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin.
Justin Sun
✔
6 Apr
Why #TRON is better than #ETH: 1. 10000TPS vs. 25TPS 2. zero fee vs. high fee 3. consistent Coinburn vs. no coinburn 4. Java vs. Solidity 5. strong extensibility vs. no ex. 6. 1 billion USD developers rewards vs. no plan 7. 100 million users vs. small number #TRX $TRX pic.twitter.com/WvxH5EToa8
Vitalik "Not giving away ETH" Buterin
✔
@VitalikButerin
- Better white paper writing capability (Ctrl+C + Ctrl+V much higher efficiency than keyboard typing new content)
7:23 PM - Apr 6, 2018
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Not all failed projects are fraudulent, of course. Many blockchain hopefuls fail simply from a lack of technical know-how or by losing out in a supersaturated market.
There is only room for so many cryptocurrencies, privacy coins, and smart contract platforms — and the long-term winners are already coming into focus. It’s reasonable to assume that continued failure by the vast majority of projects will remain commonplace.
What do you think about the supersaturated cryptocurrency marketplace? Are you surprised that 92% of blockchain projects fail, and that their average lifespan is only 1.22 years? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below!
