until you begin to correlate your crystal ball analyses to actual underlying mechanisms of why things happen the way they do, they're just that - a wild guess devoid of any actual critical analysis.
it is still unclear how tightly correlated things are between traditional finance and crypto economics, but what is clear is the direction ethereum and the few things that fit gloves-in-hands with the logic of its protocol are going. a change by degree transitions to change in kind. this is exactly what i think all of you crystal ball 'technical' 'analysts' might miss.