When you take a look at the Bcash price chart you will see the very unnatural patterns, clearly caused by manipulation. In the history of Bcash there are 4 of these pump and dump spikes, and the 4th is now underway. In the beginning of the 4th pump about a month ago I wrote THIS and THIS article where I expressed my suspicion about the surging BCH price and said that it was purely based on manipulation. It looks like I was right and that the dump phase has started.
The previous three pump and dump events
I wrote this when the 4th pump started
What happened with Bcash?
The Bcash pump started exactly when the overall market sentiment for cryptocurrency turned positive. The plan was probably to lead the newly incoming money into Bcash by creating the narrative that it is the best crypto. It started with Antpool burning Bcash, CNBC shilling for Bcash exactly before the strong surge and Roger Ver becoming very active on (social) media, even on Steemit.
Also the hard fork was hyped up while it actually wasn’t so positive. Also Bitcoin .com listed BCH as Bitcoin and BTC as Bitcoin Core, to suggest that Bcash is the real Bitcoin and BTC is an alt coin. I can’t prove it but there is a high probability that rich Bcash proponents were boosting the pump by dumping BTC and buying BCH, as was the case in all the previous pump and dumps.
The certain outcome of manipulation
The effect of manipulation is always temporary, it is almost impossible to maintain. The more the asset becomes overvalued the more costly it is to maintain the high price and the market will become immune to hype and lies over time. More and more people start to know that the promotion of Bcash as the real Bitcoin is a scam.
Keeping the manipulation up is like holding a beach ball under water. The deeper the ball goes, the stronger the opposite power and the more force is needed to maintain the status quo. As I described HERE, Bcash is heavily overvalued when you consider the fundamentals, the price is solely inflated by manipulation and lies to newbies and the uninformed.
I think the 4th pump is over and the dump phase has started
Like the previous 3 pumps, this pump will come down too and it looks like it is happening already. There are many reasons to suggest so, not only the falling price. Here are some signs:
The hard fork was a flop
I think one of the most important drivers of the pump was the upcoming hard fork that took place last week. This hard fork was unnecessary, highly increased risk and kicked 20% of the full nodes off the network (READ MORE). Furtermore, it was extremely quiet about the fork after it took place, it didn’t turn out to be a very bullish event at all. The hype for this hard fork has clearly ran out of steam.
Transactions are back to pre-pump level
In the last month transactions on the Bcash network increased with the price. After the hard fork the actual block size is back to 50KB per block, the same level as before the pump. This is less than 0.16% of the capacity after the fork! In the mean time the actual block size of BTC is growing, and about 70% of the capacity is used.
As you can see: BTC transactions are increasing and BCH transactions decreasing
Price looks very bearish
Also the price looks very bearish in BTC and USD as well. The neckline is broken downwards and it looks like a further dump is imminent. As you can see: In the last three pump and dump events the peak price was lower every time. More and more people are finding out that the Bcash proponents are a bunch of scammers and there lies have less influence on the market every time.
Doesn't look good for Bcash
Pump attempt not effective anymore
I saw this during the previous pump and dumps too, and it is very obvious. A recent Bcash pump attempt by CNBC and the Bcash shill party in Hong Kong didn't influence the market at all. Every time events like this are very effective during the pump, but ineffective during the dump.
Conclusion:
It is very likely that the price will sink under 0.1 BTC again, waiting for the next pump and dump to happen (if it ever happens). When you bought because of FOMO in the last month you will probably lose eventually if you didn’t sell already or very soon before bigger drops occur. When you lose on this trade, you just funded the pockets of scammers like Roger Ver and Craig Wright. Congratulations!
Disclaimer
This is no financial advice, just my view on the market.
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