A recent survey by the organisation More In Common has thrown up some interesting trends in party choices among Britons. Whilst it shows the obvious two big trends which are the collapse of Labour’s support and those former Labour voters going to the Greens and a rising support among British voters of support for Reform, which many people have seen already, there’s other aspects of this survey that may be surprising to some.
What may surprise many is the rise in Britons who are Gay or Bisexual men who are supporting Reform. The Greens have picked an increase in support from Lesbians and Bisexual women but men have not walked with them into the arms of the Greens. There might be a biological sex or sociological reason for this split between Gay and Bi men and Lesbian and Bi women. Maybe women, straight or not, are more willing to listen to the sort of faux progressive messages put out by the Greens? It could also be that these women were once Labour voters who have abandoned Labour, something that would fit with my experience of mixing with self declared Bi women who I found leaned Left rather than to the Right. It might not be that more Lesbian and Bi women are choosing the Greens, it could be that these are existing Leftist Lesbian and Bi female supporters who are merely transferring their votes from Labour to the Greens. In any event it’s clear that there has been a cratering of support for Labour amongst LGB men and women.
There’s a lot that I don’t know about the mechanics of this survey at this point in time. I do not know the sample size, the areas of the country that the survey was carried out, the survey method, the age profile of those surveyed or their socio-economic status. Any weight put on any one of these aspects of the survey might change the result. More participants from the social groups AB might give a different result from having more participants from social groups C2 to E (see below for how these classifications work but AB’s are higher professional and C2 to E’s are skilled manual to long term unemployed). This is an area where social class matters. It’s possible for example, that a gay male public sector manager might be more likely to vote Labour, as that party is both more in tune with that person’s views on things like Trans and ‘diversity’ and also because it upholds the status quo that gives him a living. A working class gay man of classes C2 to E might encounter problems with the real world impacts of the increasingly failing ideology of multiculturalism, such as harassment from Muslims when going to and from gay male venues and events, that the more socially and fiscally insulated AB gay man doesn’t experience. Hopefully the More In Common group who undertook this survey have designed their survey to take account of the different experiences and outlooks of different people from different classes, parts of the country and age and it is not too heavily weighted in any of these areas.
However, putting aside these concerns for a moment and assuming that they reflect to some degree the political reality among LGB’s, the rise in support for Reform among Gay men is interesting. It’s a mirror of what is happening among the male electorate at large although there are less Gay men than Straight men lining up with Reform.
Psephologically we may be on the brink of something big in politics. For decades the Left and in particular Labour has painted itself as the friend of Lesbians, Gays and Bisexuals. It was the Left that promoted LGB equality long before it became either fashionable or accepted among the general population. LGB’s in the UK have, because of the perceived support of their communities by the Left, stuck to Labour with a particularly limpet-like tenacity but the political reality of the Left’s failures might finally be making some sort of impact on LGB Britons.
Here’s what I believe could be happening among UK Gay and Bi men to bring about what is a massive shift from Labour to Reform. It’s not an exhaustive list but it’s just some of the factors that might be creating this shift among this cohort.
It’s the economy stupid. Gay and Bi men do not live on a different planet to the one that the rest of Britons live on. They are just as afflicted by economic problems and fiscal mismanagement by the Labour government as everyone else is. Being hammered by taxation for example isn’t something that respects a person’s sexuality. If a Gay or Bi man runs a business he’s going to be affected by business-killing taxation, over-regulation and Mad Ed Miliband’s disastrous energy policies. If he’s a normal wage earner then he’s going to be hammered by VAT, fuel taxes and much more. It’s clear that the British economy is in the toilet and all Labour are doing is waiting for the cistern to fill up before they finally flush the economy away. Economic hurt is an equal opportunity problem and affects everyone no matter their sexual orientation.
Safety and security. Whilst in Britain Gay and Bisexual men have legal protection from harassment and crime as everyone does, it’s also possible that the narrative that Britain’s policing and justice systems are becoming increasingly two tiered has cut through. Quite rightly if someone physically attacks someone who is gay then that is a criminal offence and the law attempts to treat gay men as how everyone else should be treated, which is equitably. But the problems come with how that law might be enforced. Enforcement of laws against harassing people because of their sexuality might not be as equitable as they should be. The chances of a police force acting against alleged harassers or attackers of Gay and Bi men if they come from one group might be less than the chances of a police force acting against an accused attacker of Gay and Bi men from another different group. It’s not altogether an impossible thing to believe that some police forces might be wary about protecting Gay and Bi men in areas that are heavily Islamised than they would in an area that wasn’t Islamised. Gay and Bi men who are critical of the gender ideology cult might also fare less well under current policing policy than if they were the sort of Gay and Bi men who claim that ‘Transwomen are women’. Police force areas where the force has been captured by the cult of Trans or who have Islamopandering as their force’s operational policy, might also be less trusted by Gay and Bi men to protect them, I certainly would not trust a police force that had gone down the Islamopandering and trans-pandering route.
However apart from specifics regarding safety and security such as the example above, Gay and Bi men suffer similar degradations from crime as the majority of Britons do. They also see police forces that fail to deter or clear up burglaries or have to traverse streets that have become havens for robbers.
- Islam. It’s quite possible that the increasing aggression shown towards Western nations by the followers of Islam is also partially driving the shift of Gay and Bi men towards Reform. You don’t have to be a theologian to know that the vast majority of Islamic teachings are incompatible with a society that treats LGB people as equal. Of course there are minority sects within Islam and individual Muslims who treat LGB people as people of equal worth before their deity Allah, but in general Islam is vehemently unfriendly towards LGB people. It’s not sensible for any Gay or Bi man to be supportive of Islam and those who do are doing a very good impression of a chicken supporting the expansion of the Kentucky Fried Chicken chain. For the record back in the late 80’s and into the 1990’s I could pop in and out of various Gay venues in East London and not expect to encounter violent Islamic religious nutcases, which is not the case today. Many of the Gay venues that used to exist in East London have gone because it’s too dangerous now, in large part because of the growth of Islam there, for the clientele to get to and from the venues safely.
When presented with the rise of an ideology, Islam, an ideology that is a direct threat both physical and otherwise to LGB people, it is bound to happen that those under the greatest threat from the ideology of Islam and its followers would start to look towards parties such as Reform that might counter this ideology in some small way. It is suicidal for Gay and Bi men to vote Labour in large numbers because of the increasing levels of Islamopandering engaged in by the Labour government.
It took about 18 months from the time of Labour’s General Election victory until December 2025 when this survey was undertaken, for Gay and Bisexual men to shift their political choices into areas that they may not have considered occupying before. This is significant. It could show that Gay and Bi men no longer see the Centre Left and Left as being on their side. We might be seeing the beginnings of something similar to what has happened in the United States where those LGB’s who were more thoughtful about politics abandoned the Democrats. The Democrats were abandoned by many LGB’s over issues of political extremism, identity politics, an obsession with Trans and support for religious ideologies that are a far greater threat to modern American LGB’s than the churches currently are in many places in that nation. We might be seeing the beginnings of a similar realisation about the Left, so far confined to Gay and Bi men, that the Left in the form of Labour and the Greens are wedded to policies that will ultimately harm Gay and Bi men. This is going to be an interesting trend to watch to see if this shift away from the Left by Gay and Bi men grows or falls.
Link
X account of one of those involved in the More in Common survey with some very interesting graphs.
https://x.com/LukeTryl/status/2031083708879393211
UK Socio-economic classification list