Correct, but I challenge you to find a count for this ongoing correction to somehow end around 200$. I can only find 1 alternate, which looks extremely disproportionate (in non log and log as well) and thus reducing the probability.

Either way I don't mind, because your idea would most likely give my family a net worth of 20-50 million$ by 2026 :D if the $ survives that long... That is exceeding my wildest dreams for getting rich with crypto. With all this institutional money entering the market in the next 2 years I am sure though that it will not drop to 200$ again.