This is a charting analysis on Cardano that I published earlier on TradingView. For updates on this analysis, simply click on the chart above.
Hi trader friends! I see that the Cardano (ADA) token is topping in a Wave (V) of a larger Wave 3, in Elliott Wave terms. Since we also see 5 waves up on the 4-hour chart since the April 25th low, the current Wave 3 top should be in! If not today, then remotely possible tomorrow.
Since ADABTC wave top is likely in place, Cardano should now begin a Wave 4 pullback lasting 5-12 days. This will likely be followed by a Wave 5 up to around 0.000050 area to finish this entire 1-5 bullish wave sequence from the March 18th low of 0.00001666, which happened to be a bullish Hammer candle formation. Not a bad move, Cardano!
After this entire larger 1-5 Elliott Wave up pattern is completed, we would likely see a larger degree ABC correction to this upcoming Wave 4 retracement area once again. Then, repeat 1-5 Waves up on a larger degree, IF this analysis is correct. This is a relatively high confidence forecast.
IDEAS:
You might look to short for 3-5 price bars down, then wait for the low to be confirmed on whatever time-frame you trade with hopefully a clean buy setup reversal bar up to reverse to a long buy position around the suggested Wave 4 low target area shown on the chart.
RATIONALE:
Waning momentum on TSI and MASIC.
Bearish divergence & MASIC turned down!
Five waves up on this topping Wave (V) of larger Wave 3, likely at or near the Mansfield modified Andrews 0.618 line.
Volume accelerated on Wave ( iii ) of 3, as it should, with Wave (v) of 3 showing less volume, as would be expected, which provides excellent conditions for text book Wave 4 pullback/retracement.
Bearish reversal candlestick price bar is forming.
GANN FAN line is also providing resistance in this area.
The forthcoming retracement should find its way to the prior Wave (iv) area, which, is where the Wolf Wave support line is.
TRADER TIP: A bullish Wolf Wave support price target line is drawn from the Wave (i) high to the Wave (iv) low (opposite for a bearish Wolf Wave resistance price target line). In either case, these are supposedly minimum price expectations. Test this out for yourself. Use prudently along with other supporting/confirming techniques.
CYCLES:
As with a lot of the newer tokens, there is not much data from which to extract cycles from. These two cycles are the best current estimate, but not to trade off of yet.
DISCLOSURE:
This analysis is meant for educational purposes only. You trade at your own risk!
Michael Mansfield CIO
ADA/BTC (Cardano) 05/03/18, 1:10 p.m. EST on TradingView
Let me know what you think.
Comment Below!