It seems a bit calm in Syria and its surrounding post-firing missiles between Iran and Israel in Syria on Thursday, although many have predicted this calm atmosphere is only "temporary". Because of this calm situation was reached after the agreement under Netanyahu's table with Putin during Netanyahu's visit to Moscow last Wednesday, and Moscow will not be able to keep this composure any longer.
However, the current strong question in Western media is what is Trump's next post-capcus step of the Nuclear Agreement with Iran and what is Israel's role in the next step?
There are at least two interconnected options that may be available;
First: The Nuclear Agreement with Iran will be canceled all, and the P5 + 1 state will sit back to discuss a new deal, in line with Trump's "taste", meaning a new deal will decide Iran should not enrich uranium at all, and it is unlikely without Iran's "consent".
Second: Steps to replace Iran's "Mullah" regime, starting with a massive embargo for Iran's economy to collapse, and that will result in the Iranian people taking to the streets, and you know what next! This second step will certainly be taken if the first step fails and Iran executes its threat to enrich uranium enrichment.
Trump assumed that by imposing sanctions and embargoes on Iran would make Iran's leaders surrender and would be invited to sit at a round table to renegotiate the nuclear deal, perhaps as it did with North Korea.
We admit that the embargo on North Korea is very severe, if Kim Jong-un is willing to negotiate with the US because of the embargo effect, then at least the effect will be felt after 2 decades minimum, and for 2 decades North Korea can continue its nuclear program even this Kim Jong-un is holding a remote ballistic missile that can reach any city in the world, just plug the nuclear upstream and push, Adios amigo! Keep in mind also that Fidel Castro, the President of Cuba survives in front of the US embargo for more than 40 years, does not give up!
The point is, tactics using the embargo to subdue Iran are not yet clear will succeed. Moreover, Trump is also already a battery, not necessarily will last two periods, one period is enough and please go home! # 2019cambiardepresidente. That is, the first step may be done, but it is difficult, so the option to skip to step change regime by force is very large. There are at least two things that make us sure the regime's step change will be taken;
First: The article titled "The Coming War Against Iran" written by former CIA agent John Kiriakou, at Concortiumnews.com, on 10 May. In the article Kirakou stated, "In the spring of 2002, I was in Pakistan working against al-Qaeda. I returned to CIA headquarters in May of that year and was told that the White House to invade Iraq. I was dumbfounded, and I was not caught bin Laden yet. "" The decision has already been made, "my supervisor told me. He continued, "Next year, in February, we are going to invade Iraq, overthrow Saddam Hussein, and open the world's largest air force base in southern Iraq." He went on, "We're going to go to the United Nations and pretend that we want a Security Council Resolution. But the truth is that the decision has already been made. "Kiriakou continued," But the whole case was built on a lie. A decision was made and then the "facts" were created around the decision to support it. I think the same thing is happening now. "The important thing first, then the reason can be searched, if no yes can be made!
Second: The statement of John Bolton, US National Security Adviser, in the seminar of the Iran Opposition (MEK) group in Paris quoted by various Western media, "The Ayatollah Khomeini's 1979 revolution will not last until its 40th birthday. And that's why, before 2019, we here will celebrate in Tehran! ".