影响币市行情的因素有很多，在内部包括主流影响力项目的发展，例如BTC减半、ETH升级等，以及因此对加密市场预期产生的周期性、长期或即时的影响等。 在外部，主要是来源于宏观环境的影响。世界主流国家的监管、货币与财政政策等。 所以，无论我们是观察技术面、宏观环境等，都不能断言牛熊。甚至，行情不能用牛熊或猴来简单概括。 所以，本文不作预测，仅就目前的行情变化进行总结。 ❖主流币❖ ➤比特币 - 短期

很多朋友反对牛市的观点。小蜜蜂以为，如果真的彻底认为牛市不再了，估计他们也不会看小蜜蜂的文章，更不会踩。他们应该早就远离币圈，工作学习创业去了…… ❖比特币与美股❖ 昨天，币市发生了非常明显的反弹。一天之内 BTC、ETH 上涨超过 10%，AXS 上涨超过 50%。 然而，另一边的美股的表现不太一样。 小蜜蜂从前分析过，如果出现 BTC 短期不跟跌美股，这是一个好的信号。因为去年 11

​​仍然有币友不确定牛市的回归，来看小蜜蜂的微博下面的互动： 犹豫再三，还是决定聊一聊这个话题。 ❖熊过❖ 首先，我们不能否认，币市在前段时间里，从5月到7月，确实是熊过。 大体上可以分为两个阶段： ➤第1阶段 5月19日——6月14日。 其实是不太明显的熊势，观察BTC的K线，基本上是震荡趋势。但事实上，K线是不考虑交易量的图像，观察使用交易量加权的平均价格，可以看出，BTC实际处于下跌趋势之中：

​​5-6月的下跌，小蜜蜂对牛市仍然没有绝望。直到7月开始，币价持续下跌，小蜜蜂开始怀疑是不是真的进入了熊市。 结果，昨天无意中去看了一下BTC的市值占比，然后对自己在519当天的判断又重拾了信心 先来说结论，小蜜蜂认为有一定的概率还有一波上涨，但是小蜜蜂不敢妄想还有一波大牛。今天先聊一聊为什么不看熊。 ❖历史比较❖ ➤仓促的牛市

​​这几天的行情实在太刺激了，让人无法静下来写文。但是，无论如何也要逼迫自己通过写作的方式来冷静下来。 有些朋友认为比特币会继续跌，会跌到45000刀甚至更低。小蜜蜂不这么认为。 ❖牛市还在吗❖ 几乎BTC每次回调，都有币友在质疑是不是牛市结束了？小蜜蜂先说观点，牛市没结束，牛市还在。 ➤6连阳的误解 有币友认为，BTC月线已经6连阳了，根据他的经验这是BTC牛市见顶的信号，于是此人抛售了所有币。

​​2020年3月，是一段历史铭记的日子。 疫情的暴发，美股在短时间内几度熔断，币市大跳水…… 2020年3月12日，美股与币市双双坠坠崖，成为股民和币友最难忘的一天。 时隔一年，又一个3月12日即将来临，人们想到去年的这一天，仍然心有余悸…… ❖关联区间假设❖ 小蜜蜂把近2年多以来，BTC的波动划分为三个阶段： 第一阶段，2020年3月12日之前； 第二阶段，2020年3月12日-2020年10月16日；

Mục tiêu của các bạn trên thị trường này là gì? Kiếm tiền? Càng nhiều càng tốt? Hay là cố gắng học được điều gì đó từ thị trường Bitcoin cho tới khi cạn sạch tiền trong tài khoản? Người ta rất thích thú

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