It's been painful to be a crypto investor for the last 9 months, but that may be about to change.
Since peaking in December of 2017, bitcoin has mostly gone down.
Altcoins, including steem, experienced a euphoric rally shortly after in January of 2018, but ever since it has been mostly all down hill as well.
However, that all may be about to change...
Why might I say that you may be wondering?
Seasonality!
There seems to be some major seasonality to bitcoin and crypto trading.
We all know about the negative seasonality that seems to happen at the beginning of the year related to the Chinese New Year and also tax related selling, but there is also some majorly positive seasonality towards the end of the year as well.
Not sure exactly what I am talking about?
Check this chart out:
Not sure what you are looking at here? Don't worry, I'll explain.
Each block represents a day.
Each green block represents a day that bitcoin had an increase in price.
Each red block represents a day that bitcoin had a decrease in price.
Simple enough, right?
Take a look at that 4th quarter...
Since 2015, over the last 3 years, bitcoin has had 14 red days during the 4th quarter, COMBINED!
Let that sink in for a moment, there are 3 months in a quarter and we are dealing with 3 years of data, which gives us roughly 92 days multiplied by 3 years, or 276 days worth of data points.
Out of those roughly 276 days, only 14 of them were red over the past 3 years.
That means that 95% of the days in the 4th quarter have been green over the last 3 years.
Talk about a good time to be a bull!
Oh yea and then there is this...
Today, Mike Novogratz is calling the bottom in the crypto markets:
(Source:
)https://twitter.com/novogratz/status/1040288811643809798
- novogratz
At this point, the parabolic portion of the bull cycle has been completely erased, something Novogratz said likely represents a bottoming out point in the crypto markets.
He also called the top back in December, he's a smart guy and a good one to pay attention to.
When you combine his call with the strong seasonal period we are about to enter, I think there is very high probability that the party is about to begin again in crypto land.
Stay informed my friends.
Image Source:
https://altcointoday.com/biggest-influencers-bitcoin-price-2016/
