There are a number of assumptions that go into any predictive model about future human behavior. Full disclosure - I have gone into cryptocurrency in a big way. I have to constantly be on guard for confirmation bias. I want it to be true so I believe anyone who confirms my belief. I think beanstalk did a great job of explaining the acceptance of technology as a predictor of future value. My greatest fear is a hostile US government going after bitcoin if they perceive it as a threat to the economy. Without government interference I think there is a high probability that we will see mass adoption of cryptocurrency by the entire world.