Good analysis as always but you don't seem to take news and special circumstance into account.
For example, you mention how on a day that BTC is going down Verge is going up. That's true but a large reason for that was panic selling after Korean exchanges were no longer being included in price averages on CMC and WCI.
Verge, NEO, and others were unaffected so it appeared they were stable during a bear market. Which probably led to overbuying and thus the triangle breakout in your analysis. I suppose we'll have to wait and see!