I believe you might be right. I love your digging to write this article. Good job! The only thing is that the budget crunch and economic downturn might not happen for another three years, so I believe that the recovery is still moving upward rapidly. Now is definitely not the right time to short the market. The market could continue to inflate massively at the same rate as it is now for a longer time. In order to create a budget crisis our market could inflate similar to Venezuela before the next crisis. That means that the market could go up ~2,000% more before the crisis hits in three to seven years. The crisis might even hit in twelve years from now and could still be blamed on Trump's policies. I do agree that we will have a crisis within the next twelve years.