The numbers
The methods used to generate these are:
- Goals scored/conceded home/away last season + this season (weighted for % through season)
- Total shots and shots-on-target ratio (this season)
The GEs produced from the above methods are then averaged to give the above results.
Copy/pastable table version
| Home | Away | Home GE | Away GE | Tot G | G Supr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | West Brom | 1.470223986 | 0.9630834955 | 2.433307481 | 0.5071404901 |
| Huddersfield | Crystal Palace | 1.184422413 | 1.092638388 | 2.277060801 | 0.091784025 |
| Stoke | Everton | 1.30252084 | 1.24535653 | 2.54787737 | 0.0571643095 |
| Liverpool | Watford | 2.348954315 | 0.8818099201 | 3.230764235 | 1.467144395 |
Summary
- My banker of the week is Liverpool with a goal supremacy value of 1.47
- The highest scoring game is expected to be Liverpool vs Watford with a total goal expectancy value of 3.23
- There are two tight games this week, the tightest game being Stoke vs Everton with a goal supremacy value of just 0.06
Bet of the week
Due to the reduced number of games, there's no bet of the week. Based on my goal expectancies, Watford +2/+2.5 on the handicap looks good value, but the recent 3-0 loss against Arsenal puts me off enough not to tip it. Are Watford getting complacent?
Thanks for reading, and good luck with your FPL and bets this week!
Adam (acelad)
, resteem 
and