ETH 25/8 — Ethereum Is Coiled Like TNT. Light the Fuse. 🚀🔥
TL;DR: ETH is pressing beneath a stubborn supply zone ~$4,800–$4,950 after a hard rejection, but the structure is still primed for a violent move. Watch the ladder of supports at $4,55k → $4,40–4,45k → $4,05–4,15k. Hold a level, and this thing can rip. Lose them, and we get a shakeout before the next launch.
The Heat Check
Ethereum just slammed into that purple supply box ~4.8–4.95k (see 1D), tagged it, and spit a sharp pullback—textbook reaction. On the 4H, momentum cooled, but bulls haven’t surrendered structure: higher lows are still alive as long as we defend the first teal block.
Resistance (sell wall): $4,800–$4,950
Support 1: $4,550–$4,600
Support 2: $4,400–$4,450
Support 3 (deep bid): $4,050–$4,150
This is the classic fuel-compression phase. Each dip into support is a wick-harvest; each bounce reloads the spring. When it breaks, it won’t ask permission.
Bullish Detonation Scenario 💥
- Tag Support 1 (~4.55–4.60k) → absorb supply → V-reversal back into 4.75–4.80k.
- Clean 4H close above 4.80k flips the box to support.
- Acceptance above 4.95k opens price discovery; air pockets toward $5.2k → $5.4k become live targets.
Confirmation clues:
4H higher low printed inside/just above Support 1
Expanding volume on green candles as 4.80k breaks
RSI/MACD (if you track them) turning up from midline rather than oversold bounces
Controlled Pullback (Rocket Refuel) 🔁
If Support 1 slips, I’m eyeing Support 2 (4.40–4.45k) for the bear trap. Sweep the lows, spring back above 4.45k, and you get the fuel injection—weak hands out, strong hands in. That’s often the nastiest, most vertical move back to the highs.
Maximum Pain, Maximum Gain 😈
Total sentiment crusher = a spike into Support 3 (4.05–4.15k), wicking the 1D demand, then a face-melting reclaim. It would nuke late longs, load the bid, and set the stage for the largest upside impulse of the quarter. Not my base case—but if it happens, I want to be ready.
My Game Plan (Not Financial Advice)
Intraday longs: Hunt wick reclaims on the 4H at Support 1. Invalidation just below the block; aim back to 4.80k.
Swing adds: If price closes above 4.80k with volume, I’m looking for the retest → go into 4.95k / 5.2k.
Patience play: If 4.55k fails, wait for the sweep + reclaim at 4.40–4.45k. No reclaim? Stand down and let Support 3 set up.
Risk rules:
No chasing into resistance.
Cut losers fast below your block.
Size like you want to survive the next candle.
Final Word
ETH 25/8 is a pressure cooker. Sellers threw their best punch at 4.8–4.95k, but the structure still screams coil, not collapse. Hold a support and break that ceiling—and this chart doesn’t just go up… it ignites. 🔥🚀
