We have completed the Group Stage matches and 16 teams have advanced to the knockout stages! 15 matches remaining and which AI would out predict the other one?
So I wrote a post earlier this week (here) about using AI to predict Euro 2024 matches, and I discussed whether the predictions were accurate or not.
And it wasn't just me who found this interesting - there were a few comments who thought this was something that they wanted to follow. So I thought, why not let me continue with this?
So here's what I would do:
- To spare you guys all the AI generated analysis, I have removed their analysis and focused purely on the scorelines
- As usual, I would ask ChatGPT and Meta AI on the day of the matches itself so that they can provide their prediction based on the latest(?) information they have
- Of course, we should have a competition as to which AI is better in predicting the outcome of the matches. So I have come up with a scoring system: 1 point for guessing the correct team (or draw), 3 points for guessing the exact scoreline!
- Update: From knockout round onwards, given the complexity of extra time and penalty shootouts, both AIs will just be required to pick the winner. 2 points to be awarded for the correct guess!
Have put in some effort to organise all the data within the table below. (The first 4 matches were NA because I started this experiment late.)
| Match | ChatGPT | Meta AI | Actual Score | Keeping Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany vs Scotland | NA | NA | 5-1 | |
| Hungary vs Switzerland | NA | NA | 1-3 | |
| Spain vs Croatia | NA | NA | 3-0 | |
| Italy vs Albania | NA | NA | 2-1 | |
| Poland vs Netherlands | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | ChatGPT +3 Meta AI +3 |
| Slovenia vs Denmark | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-1 | X |
| Serbia vs England | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Romania vs Ukraine | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | X |
| Belgium vs Slovakia | 2-0 | 3-0 | 0-1 | X |
| Austria vs France | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Turkey vs Georgia | 2-1 | 2-1 | 3-1 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Portugal vs Czech Republic | 3-1 | 2-0 | 2-1 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Croatia vs Albania | 2-1 | 2-1 | 2-2 | X |
| Germany vs Hungary | 3-1 | 3-0 | 2-0 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Scotland vs Switzerland | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1-1 | X |
| Slovenia vs Serbia | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | X |
| Denmark vs England | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | X |
| Spain vs Italy | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-0 | X |
| Slovakia vs Ukraine | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 | ChatGPT +3 |
| Poland vs Austria | 1-1 | 2-0 | 1-3 | X |
| Netherlands vs France | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 | X |
| Georgia vs Czech Republic | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | Meta AI +3 |
| Turkey vs Portugal | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-3 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Belgium vs Romania | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | ChatGPT +3 Meta AI +3 |
| Switzerland vs Germany | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | X |
| Scotland vs Hungary | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-1 | X |
| Albania vs Spain | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Croatia vs Italy | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | Meta AI +3 |
| France vs Poland | 3-1 | 2-1 | 1-1 | X |
| Netherlands vs Austria | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-3 | X |
| Denmark vs Serbia | 2-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | Meta AI +1 |
| England vs Slovenia | 4-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | X |
| Slovakia vs Romania | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | ChatGPT +3 Meta AI +3 |
| Ukraine vs Belgium | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | X |
| Georgia vs Portugal | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-0 | X |
| Czech Republic vs Turkey | 2-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | X |
| Outright Winner | ||||
| Switzerland vs Italy | Italy | Italy | ||
| Germany vs Denmark | Germany | Denmark | ||
| England vs Slovakia | England | Slovakia | ||
| Spain vs Georgia | Spain | Georgia | ||
| France vs Belgium | France | Belgium | ||
| Portugal vs Slovenia | Portugal | Slovenia | ||
| Romania vs Netherlands | Netherlands | Netherlands | ||
| Austria vs Turkey | Austria | Turkey |
Current Score: ChatGPT 19 (+3) Meta AI 23 (+4)
Meta AI continued its incredible run by chalking out 4 more points, while ChatGPT could only managed 3 more points, over the last 8 matches. This means Meta AI now leads ChatGPT 23 to 19! Anyway, there's 16 more points up for grabs in the knock out stages so we shall see!
Did anyone notice Meta AI's predictions? They are going for upsets!
With 32 matches played out, ChatGPT only predicted 11 winners correctly (4 correct scorelines) and Meta AI now has gotten 13 winners (5 correct scorelines). That's way less than half. Maybe we should go against these AIs hahaha.
Looks like there is still a lot of room for improvement for these AI machines. So far, the conclusion is these are just useful references and one should not rely on these AIs to bet and hope to strike it rich. Hahaha.
So finally, which AI do you think will predict the Euro 2024 scores better? Let me know if you have other comments too!