We have completed the quarter finals matches and we have the final 4 teams for the semi finals! 3 matches remaining and which AI would out predict the other one?
So I wrote a post earlier this week (here) about using AI to predict Euro 2024 matches, and I discussed whether the predictions were accurate or not.
And it wasn't just me who found this interesting - there were a few comments who thought this was something that they wanted to follow. So I thought, why not let me continue with this?
So here's what I would do:
- To spare you guys all the AI generated analysis, I have removed their analysis and focused purely on the scorelines
- As usual, I would ask ChatGPT and Meta AI on the day of the matches itself so that they can provide their prediction based on the latest(?) information they have
- Of course, we should have a competition as to which AI is better in predicting the outcome of the matches. So I have come up with a scoring system: 1 point for guessing the correct team (or draw), 3 points for guessing the exact scoreline!
- Update: From knockout round onwards, given the complexity of extra time and penalty shootouts, both AIs will just be required to pick the winner. 2 points to be awarded for the correct guess!
Have put in some effort to organise all the data within the table below. (The first 4 matches were NA because I started this experiment late.)
| Match | ChatGPT | Meta AI | Actual Score | Keeping Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany vs Scotland | NA | NA | 5-1 | |
| Hungary vs Switzerland | NA | NA | 1-3 | |
| Spain vs Croatia | NA | NA | 3-0 | |
| Italy vs Albania | NA | NA | 2-1 | |
| Poland vs Netherlands | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | ChatGPT +3 Meta AI +3 |
| Slovenia vs Denmark | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-1 | X |
| Serbia vs England | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Romania vs Ukraine | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | X |
| Belgium vs Slovakia | 2-0 | 3-0 | 0-1 | X |
| Austria vs France | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Turkey vs Georgia | 2-1 | 2-1 | 3-1 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Portugal vs Czech Republic | 3-1 | 2-0 | 2-1 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Croatia vs Albania | 2-1 | 2-1 | 2-2 | X |
| Germany vs Hungary | 3-1 | 3-0 | 2-0 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Scotland vs Switzerland | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1-1 | X |
| Slovenia vs Serbia | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | X |
| Denmark vs England | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | X |
| Spain vs Italy | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-0 | X |
| Slovakia vs Ukraine | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 | ChatGPT +3 |
| Poland vs Austria | 1-1 | 2-0 | 1-3 | X |
| Netherlands vs France | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 | X |
| Georgia vs Czech Republic | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | Meta AI +3 |
| Turkey vs Portugal | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-3 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Belgium vs Romania | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | ChatGPT +3 Meta AI +3 |
| Switzerland vs Germany | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | X |
| Scotland vs Hungary | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-1 | X |
| Albania vs Spain | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | ChatGPT +1 Meta AI +1 |
| Croatia vs Italy | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | Meta AI +3 |
| France vs Poland | 3-1 | 2-1 | 1-1 | X |
| Netherlands vs Austria | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-3 | X |
| Denmark vs Serbia | 2-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | Meta AI +1 |
| England vs Slovenia | 4-0 | 3-0 | 0-0 | X |
| Slovakia vs Romania | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | ChatGPT +3 Meta AI +3 |
| Ukraine vs Belgium | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | X |
| Georgia vs Portugal | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-0 | X |
| Czech Republic vs Turkey | 2-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | X |
| Knockout | ||||
| Switzerland vs Italy | Italy | Italy | Switzerland | X |
| Germany vs Denmark | Germany | Denmark | Germany | ChatGPT +2 |
| England vs Slovakia | England | Slovakia | England | ChatGPT +2 |
| Spain vs Georgia | Spain | Georgia | Spain | ChatGPT +2 |
| France vs Belgium | France | Belgium | France | ChatGPT +2 |
| Portugal vs Slovenia | Portugal | Slovenia | Portugal | ChatGPT +2 |
| Romania vs Netherlands | Netherlands | Netherlands | Netherlands | ChatGPT +2 Meta AI +2 |
| Austria vs Turkey | Austria | Turkey | Turkey | Meta AI +2 |
| Quarter Finals | ||||
| Spain vs Germany | Spain | Spain | Spain | ChatGPT +2 Meta AI +2 |
| Portugal vs France | France | France | France | ChatGPT +2 Meta AI +2 |
| England vs Switzerland | England | England | England | ChatGPT +2 Meta AI +2 |
| Netherlands vs Turkey | Netherlands | Netherlands | Netherlands | ChatGPT +2 Meta AI +2 |
| Semi Finals | ||||
| Spain vs France | France | Spain | ||
| Netherlands vs England | England | England |
Current Score: ChatGPT 39 (+8) Meta AI 35 (+8)
Just wow! Both AIs correctly got all 4 winnners spot on in the quarter finals! Right when we were doubting the capabilities of AI, they produced 4 correct predictions in a row! That means both ChatGPT and Meta AI scored 8 points each, so ChatGPT leads Meta AI 39 to 35.
With just 3 matches, I was worried that the same predictions will turn up for the semi finals. Interestingly, ChatGPT picked a different finalist from Meta AI. This sets for an exciting showdown, because if ChatGPT gets it right, it wins, but if Meta AI gets it right, the competition is right down to the final match! At least we now know, both AIs are almost on par with their abilities.
So who do you think will make it to the finals? Comment below!