Hello ! I read your post using a translator, and it is absolutely fascinating. With my background in agriculture, I really enjoyed the 'Horst' example (the farmer vs. librarian paradox). It perfectly illustrates how we often ignore basic statistics in favor of stereotypes. The medical test example also blew my mind—only a 9% actual probability of being sick despite a 99% specific test is a huge eye-opener about the dangers of mass screening. Thank you for making such complex statistical concepts so easy to understand. Great read!
RE: Von Denkfehlern und Massentestungen