Yes, it is factoring that in. It is assuming that people are burning SPS at the price they are buying it at though (or more likely arbiters are burning the SPS instantly and selling it to the market).
One person pointed out a flaw that credit purchases will not need newly minted DEC, because the Splinterlands team will be able to instantly exchange the DEC they already received from others in the presale.
RE: Presale Simulations Show $SPS Will MOON