It smells a lot like autumn in this part of the world. We had way under 30 degrees Celsius at noon today, and summer is about to end officially. Time flies so damn fast. It feels like just yesterday we were stuck in that excessively rainy spring, longing for summer days.
The summer days came, after all—ain't like anyone can hold back time—and the days got longer while the nights shrank, typical summer style.
In July, we had some brutally hot days, and the forecast looked nasty for August too. Don’t get me wrong, I dig summertime, but I’m not a fan of excessive heat. Fortunately, August turned out fine. I got to chill at the pool for a few solid days, got my skin tanned nicely, and this whole summer felt like a straight-up vacation.
2025 reminds me a ton of 2017. Or, better said, 2025 has mad 2017 vibes. It’s a year of change for me, and even though the crypto market hasn’t followed the path I envisioned, we might still get a proper blow-off top for this bull market after all.
As I mentioned in my previous post (#), ETH is killing it compared to BTC. ETH just hit a new ATH a couple of days ago, and BTC.D is trending down. Now, anyone who was around in 2017 knows Q4 was when the whole market pumped like there was no tomorrow.
No cycle should be compared directly to another because each has its own unique price action and narrative, but some cycles kinda rhyme. In my opinion, Q4 2025 is shaping up to feel a lot like Q4 2017.I’m getting the same vibes: there’s a wind of change blowing, and that change better be good.
I never thought I’d stick around in crypto this long, but here I am, eight years later. I haven’t “made it” in crypto, and I don’t have high hopes of striking it rich with my current holdings, but I still think altcoins have some juice left.
Three or four months in crypto can work miracles for a portfolio. This is the last call—we either make it or break it. As I wrote a few months back in a post (#) of mine, I believe if we don’t get a proper altcoin season this year, most of the retail still in crypto will bail out completely.
Bitcoin ain’t an asset for the masses anymore, but without the masses, Bitcoin wouldn’t be where it is. The masses deserve a reward, like back in Roman times when they threw those big-ass arena shows to keep folks entertained.
Every four years, the masses get fed a story that things are gonna change for the better, while the dollar keeps losing power (thanks to how the FED designed it). And every four years, the market fools people into thinking there won’t be another bear market.
Thanks for your attention,
Adrian