I think in hindsight a right choice comes more from being persistent towards seeing it through, and less on the actual choice made at the time of making the choice based on instinct/intuition or whatever reason one could come up at that time.
The caveat here is there's a meeting place in terms of margin of control with a choice, in that not all choices are within one's control to make them right.
Collective games have much of that element in my view, I can choose to take a contrarian position, but if the collective isn't aligned with that view, then that choice is subjectively wrong to me and objectively right only on paper.
As a downcoming part-time contrarian, I'm learning to understand that following the crowd isn't always an unsound thing to do, depending on what you're trying to accomplish.
Sometimes, it's the lowest hanging fruit for easy gains betting on the obvious winner.
The crowd is arguably right more times than it is wrong when it comes to broad trends, and it's more so timing this relatively brief phase where sentiment shifts that creates opportunity.
But I think I also need to make this distinction that the crowd in this context isn't normies completely oblivious of the game they're playing. Even that category of people have their own form of intelligence that isn't always apparent to the outsider watching from afar.
Here, the crowd is basically the aggregate of informed participants making rational decisions.
In some cases, silent majority is the term used.
Back to choices, I've been retrospectively looking back on a not so distant timeframe about the choices made so far in life.
Many of them looking back now have this flavour of being neither inherently right nor wrong at the moment they were made. They became one or the other based on what happened next, i.e how much effort went in, how many course corrections were made, whether I stuck with them or bailed.
The outcome was shaped more by the persistence than by the choice itself.
I'm not trying to exaggerate the personal agency aspect in this case but I think it's quite underrated with how much control we actually have over outcomes and what we do after the choice is made.
Sometimes the right choice is made after the initial decision, not at the point of making the choice. That is to say, you can make a choice and then make that choice right. Of course, within reasonable limits, as there's no amount of persistence that can salvage fundamentally doomed choices!
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