What does partial mobilization in Russia give us? Nothing good for us. They may well replace mobilized personnel who are currently performing tasks somewhere in the far east and send fresh, relatively trained and equipped units to us. The announced mobilization of 300,000 practically coincides with the number of troops involved in the operation against Ukraine announced by the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (250,000 figures were announced). What makes it possible to imagine that those priority 250,000 (and if you remember that they were constantly replenished, then you have 300,000+) have practically "run out". That is, they need to be replaced, restored, etc. etc.
Does this mean that the mobilized will not come to us? But not at all. They will go Because the units will be supplemented, because ~40-50% of the million-strong army in Russia (as well as almost everywhere) are not linear combat units: support, all kinds of submarines, rocket launchers, and so on. That is, half of the combat army of the Russian Federation "all". They need another half to be in their positions at the end of geography. Mobilization is necessary.
Will it be easier for us? In the short term (~3-6 months) not at all. Until some critical panic mass ripens inside the raissi.
My version is that they want to survive the winter this way. Restrain the Armed Forces, terrorize Ukraine with attacks on civilian infrastructure, and wait until we freeze and surrender to Russian gas.
Therefore, we believe and help the Armed Forces of Ukraine, we are not fooling ourselves, and we are bringing victory closer. Because IT IS AFRAID. Which means that they already know that they have lost in Russia.
Photos - https://t.me/operativnoZSU
