The crypto market has started this week off very strong; Bitcoin just broke through the $69000 price point today! The rally comes on the back of breaking news regarding negotiations of a ceasefire between the US and Iran which has led to tremendous confidence for investors.
Current Price of Bitcoin
As of today, Saturday (2/2) Bitcoin was trading at over $69000, giving it a gain of approximately 3%-4% within just twenty-four hours!
This rally drove BTC to be at its highest level of price in over one week, showing renewed bullishness across the entire crypto market.
MEXC
Factors Causing Bitcoin to Rally
What is creating the price movement of Bitcoin upwards? The primary cause is due to the ceasefire news related to Israel/Iran. According to reports, the U.S. and Iran have worked out a ceasefire framework which could result in a reopening of the strategic Strait of Hormuz.
Discussions about a possible 45-day ceasefire could be a start towards long term permanent peace negotiations.
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As soon as the ceasefire news announced, the markets responded immediately to the de-escalation of all of the global geopolitical tensions created by that situation!
Reuters
- Investing in Risk
Investors may have started to invest more in risk-related assets again, including crypto, as the world becomes more stable.
Bitcoin has increased in value
Altcoin value has gone up
The Stock Market is also recovering
This rally in Crypto has been very positively impacted by "Risk-In" sentiment
- The Push From a Massive Short Squeeze
In addition to the need for more risk in the world, the massive short squeeze also helped propel prices:
Short positions totaling almost 200 million dollars liquidated
Those who had shorted Bitcoin were eliminated from the market
When they were forced to buy back their short positions, it flew higher.
The entire crypto market is rising in conjunction with Bitcoin:
Ethereum has increased in value by almost 5%
XRP, Solana, and Dogecoin have also risen in value
Cardano has increased in value by as much as 6%
Generally, this suggests that there is a lot of strength generally in the market now.
But Is This RALLY Sustainable?
While the price surge is very strong, there remain significant risks associated with the rally:
The ceasefire is uncertain
News associated with geopolitical events can easily create volatility in the markets
Bitcoin is currently trading within the $65k-$73k price range
If discussions fail, then these markets are likely to see increased volatility very rapidly.
MORE TO THINK ABOUT
The overall price increase in Crypto and particularly Bitcoin indicates that, for the first time, BTC is no longer acting as an isolated asset — BTC is now consistently reacting to Global Macro-Tension and Geo Political Events.
The war created significant pressure to bring BTC prices down at the time…
The potential of a peaceful resolution to that event creates a great deal of pressure to bring BTC prices up at this time.
This means that Crypto is developing into a Global Macro Tension/Sensitive asset like equity and commodities in that it is now being impacted by Global Tensions and Macro Events.
What Comes After Bitcoin's Current Market Situation
Assuming the ceasefire is maintained, we should see another attempt by Bitcoin for an all-time high. However, if tensions flare between the U.S. and Iran again, we will likely see sharp price corrections as well.