This season, a big team home favorite at a -1.5 handicap or higher taking the easy win covering the handicap is pretty much an upset at this point since it feels like an impossible scenario that never really happens anymore. If they cover, it's always a struggle one way or another and in most cases they don't.

Blindly betting all underdog lines this season at closing line (an you can bet those big) would have resulted in 94W-67L-47P good for 19.5 units of profit. Off course it's not as easy as that unfortunately and there could very much be some regression to the mean.

It keeps it all interesting though.