In the world of cryptocurrency trades, rarely are there trades which are like golf puts next to the hole.
Asynchronous Risk / Reward
Downside quantified to be about 0.95 USD with a certainty factor of about 90%+. Yes, HBD could trade below 0.95, but it's not likely going to.
Upside quantified to be between 2 USD and 10 USD.
$2 USD perhaps with a liklihood of 65%.
$10 USD is possible, unsure how likely but even 20% is pretty good.
Risk / Reward
Risk - 18.7% loss at 0.95 cent USD
Reward - 150% gain at $3 USD, something like 700% at $10 USD
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