Intro
Since November 22, 2025, Codex has documented one continuous structure — mapped before noise, logged before hype, and now unfolding almost candle for candle.
Brief 1 mapped the breakdown the day before 80.5k snapped.
The 11 Silent Entries were taken quietly on Jan 30–31 — the mirror of the June 23 entries, but in reverse.
And now, with the weekly wick printed and momentum fading, the C‑wave is confirmed.
Weekly BTC — same chart used in Public Brief 2. The yellow box highlights the expected consolidation phase under A.BTC Outlook
BTC has now entered the same mid‑cycle consolidation seen in 2022:
- Week 1: capitulation wick → complete
- Week 2–3: controlled drift (low momentum, compression)
- Week 4: lower‑high window
- Week 5: stabilization above wick
- Week 6: breakdown → weekly close under the 200W MA
This is structural rhythm — not prediction.
The model adapts if the market deviates.
A Quick Look Back — November’s Model Just Played Out
On November 27, 2025, I logged the following in my journal:
“1 month consolidation under A → breakdown → target 200W MA 60k.”
That was the structural roadmap for the AB‑phase.
Journal log — November 27, 2025. The AB‑phase playbook calling for “1 month consolidation under A → breakdown → 200W MA 60k.” Current price action is following the same rhythm.Since then:
- 4 of the 6 planned rotations of the AB‑wave played out cleanly
- structure shifted exactly where Brief 1 described
- the breakdown confirmed the model
- the 11 silent entries executed before the move all hit
- and BTC is now doing the one thing the model expected next:
Consolidating under A.
We are standing inside the exact window described in November 2025 —
and today, the full playbook for this consolidation phase has been sent to Tier 1 early backers.
Quick Update — B→C Wave Short (Setup 2)
As mentioned in the 11 Silent Entries post, the B→C wave short from Setup 2 was positioned as a multi‑month hold.
The fractal played out cleanly:
BTC & ETH fractal updates — continuation of the B→C wave short from Setup 2. Structure followed the same rhythm outlined in the AB‑playbook.This is the same structural sequence that Brief 2 now expands on — the C‑phase consolidation model.
Brief 2 — The C‑Phase Roadmap (Weeks 1–6)
Today’s Codex Brief 2 covers:
- the full C‑phase consolidation model
- Week‑1 wick → Week‑6 breakdown rhythm
- the wick‑low retest region
- the 200W MA interaction
- diminishing‑returns context
- and the deviation markers that ended the A→B wave early
This is the roadmap for the next 5–6 weeks — the same rhythm that played out in 2022, now repeating with diminishing returns.
No signals.
No hype.
Just structure.
Early Backers — Roadmap Sent by Email
As with the ALTs Tier 2 update, the Tier 1 PDF has been sent directly to all current pledgers while Stripe is being finalized.
Early‑backer tier is still open — 50% lifetime discount until paid tiers officially launch.
Full Brief 2 (C‑phase roadmap) is here:
https://codexbrief.substack.com/p/feb-9-2026-codex-brief-2-consolidation
For those who want the full archive as it unfolds, not after the fact:
https://codexbrief.substack.com/subscribe
Hive remains the public archive.
Substack continues the chronology — clean, timestamped, and sustainable.
The next chapter is already being documented.
© 2025 Codex Research.
All proprietary content, analysis, format and structure are protected.
Redistribution requires written permission.
Not financial advice.
Tradejournal Links (Private Archive)
These aren’t signals. They’re echoes — timestamps left behind in my private journal. Codex is memory in motion, and these links are the proof. For my own reference.
🔗 Codex Reflection — BTC Fractal 2022 vs 2025 (Nov 27, 2025)
🔗 BTC Result snapshot (Feb 7)
🔗 ETH Result snapshot (Feb 7)
Please do follow if you want to keep up with my next post. Any upvotes or reblogs are hugely appreciated!
Latest post, check out :
🌀 Codex Brief — A Rare Tactical Window Inside ALTs
Christopher
Kristiansand, Norway
Source: Photos are chart-screenshots by me from Tradingview.com and screenshots from my personal trading journal.
Legal Disclaimer : Never invest more than what you can afford to lose. I am not a financial advisor and I am sharing my opinion based on speculation. This post is for informational purposes only and provides only my personal opinion. If you make any trades after reading this post, it is completely in your responsibility. I am not responsible for any of your losses. By reading this post you acknowledge and accept that.
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