Impossible to know for sure. Try to take market moves just as probabilities.

From my perspective, we are still lacking a move downwards to complete a needed cycle before going upwards again. If it does it, it'd be a very healthy movement upwards that could bring us back to ATH.

If instead the price just rises, I'd be fearing a deeper dump, maybe to the $6k-$8k zones.

Again, these are just probabilities. I have my analysis and bias in regards to the movement, many people thinks we are already in the bullish cycle.

I think the Bull's back (we have clear early signs in the Weekly chart) but for it to regain full strength we still need to go lower. It's like this:

• We go down in order to go up
• We go up in order to go down

That's pretty much about the healthy movements of the market. Anything else is just manipulation, and those are dangerous waters to be swimming in.