Hello Hive community 👋
This post introduces a simple Prediction Market experiment open to everyone on Hive.
The goal is to test collective judgment using standard Hive mechanics and long-term incentives.
❓ The Question
What will be the price of HIVE in 7 days?
(Resolved at this post’s payout time)
Reference price: $0.09
🗳️ How to Participate
- There are two comments, each representing one possible outcome
- Vote only on the comment you believe is correct
- Minimum vote: 0.02 (practical minimum for delegation handling)
📊 Outcomes (choose ONE)
Comment A:
➡️ HIVE price will be ABOVE $0.09
Comment B:
➡️ HIVE price will be BELOW or EQUAL to $0.09
⏳ Resolution & Rewards
- The market resolves 7 days after this post is created
- The correct outcome wins
- All users who voted on the correct comment receive permanent delegation
- Delegation is based on the 50% curation value generated by their vote
- Delegations are permanent — never removed, never undelegated
🎯 Extra Incentive (from the losing comment)
The rewards generated by the incorrect comment are redistributed as permanent delegation to the top voters of the winning comment:
- 1st place (highest vote) → 50%
- 2nd place → 30%
- 3rd place → 20%
Ranking is based strictly on vote weight.
This experiment is designed to reward:
- Correct predictions
- Strong conviction
- Long-term participation
No tokens are sold.
No delegations are ever taken back.
Vote carefully. 🦥🔮