According to Neil McCoy-Ward, there has recently been an increasing concern over the world's escalating debt levels. This problem is no longer limited to individual countries such as the United States, the United Kingdom, or Europe, but has evolved into a global phenomenon. The ramifications of this debt accumulation are becoming clear, and it is critical to comprehend the implications.
According to McCoy-Ward, an unprecedented amount of new money, or currency growth, happened in 2020 and 2021. This increase in currency supply caused asset prices to rise, reflecting the influx of money into circulation. While this expansion may initially help those who possess assets such as homes or equities, it has resulted in a major issue known as quantitative tightening or a credit crunch.
As interest rates rise and tightening measures are implemented, significant strain is imposed not just on businesses, but also on government funds and families. The expense of servicing and accumulating debt becomes increasingly difficult, especially for governments dealing with rapidly rising GDP figures. Paradoxically, a major chunk of government debt, particularly in countries such as the United States, is due to private entities such as the Federal Reserve, the stockholders of which are mostly unknown.
McCoy-Ward believes that global debt levels have hit new highs and that the combination of rising debt and interest rates has increased the cost of servicing this debt. The global debt pile, which now stands at $305 trillion, increased by $8.3 trillion in the first quarter, setting a near-record high. Total debt in emerging nations has surpassed $100 trillion, while established markets such as Japan, the United States, France, and the United Kingdom have seen the largest growth.
According to McCoy-Ward, the historic debt levels raise various problems. For starters, tightening financial circumstances, reminiscent of the 2008 financial crisis, may result in greater default rates and the growth of zombie enterprises. In fact, an estimated 14% of publicly traded corporations in the United States are already categorized as zombies. Furthermore, aging populations, rising healthcare expenditures, and large climate funding gaps put additional strain on government cash sheets. Geopolitical tensions, notably between the United States and China, may have an additional impact on government credit profiles.
While countries such as the United States have a debt ceiling, it has been increased multiple times in the past. The debt ceiling is currently over $31 trillion, with forecasts for 2027 putting it at $42.7 trillion. The debt-to-GDP ratio is anticipated to reach 146% by 2027, showing that this debt is unsustainable.
The Federal Reserve System, a private corporation that creates money out of thin air and collects interest on the debt it creates, is the largest holder of US government debt. The federal government's debt servicing costs are exorbitant, fueling an unsettling debt cycle.
According to McCoy-Ward, a global debt apocalypse is looming, with the global debt burden reaching historic heights. Rising interest rates, growing debt, and unsustainable debt-to-GDP ratios necessitate quick action. Governments, organizations, and individuals must face the repercussions of their borrowing habits and strive for more sustainable economic practices. Prioritizing fiscal prudence and exploring alternative options to alleviate the risks connected with the coming debt crisis is critical.
This article was proofread by ChatGPT.
Source:
Neil McCoy-Ward, 18 May 2023, 'DEBT APOCALYPSE HERE!' (As Global Debt Nears Breaking Point...),