Happy hump day in the first week of this new year. It’s been a minute since I’ve last posted some TA, and it seems the itch has returned after putting trading aside for a bit to focus on other pieces and parts of life. I’m sure The Byrds touched on crypto degen season in their hit Turn! Turn! Turn! somewhere.
With the Litecoin halving expected sometime in Q3 or Q4 of 2023, backing up the Brinks truck and filling up the bags with Litecoin has become the recent mantra and memecoin. What better way to get back on the horse again?
With that, Let’s get to the TA. (My methodology is Point & Figure/Wyckoff.)
Looking at the 1D chart (0.20 box size with a 3 box reversal), the formation appears to have completed a Phase E Wyckoff Reaccumulation. If we look at the projected target price using the horizontal method, the projected price for the completion of Phase E would be (23 columns x 0.20 box size x 3 box reversal) + $65.20 = $79.00. The formation’s Buying Climax topped out at $77.80 at the time this article was published, so it appears all the cause built up to mark the price up has been used, and Litecoin should establish a new trade range and direction at this stage. The larger question is which direction is Litecoin likely to break? The weekly chart might help provide some insight.
Looking at the 1W chart (0.20 box size with a 5 box reversal), the formation appears to be at the tail end of a Phase B Wyckoff Accumulation. Typically, at the tail end of this stage, the formation tends to retest support (in this case the $46.40 price at the top of support) followed by a test of resistance (in this case the $60.40 price at the bottom of resistance) before entering into Phase C with the shakeout (forming the creek and spring) prior to markup. As this chart is a higher timeframe, consider this may take some time for the full breakdown to complete before the subsequent retest of resistance.
Always remember this is not trading advice.
Outside of that, Happy Trading.