World Uncertainty Index (#WUI) on higher timeframes just smashed historical highs — blowing past the global financial crisis, Iraq invasion, 9/11, and even the COVID peak.
This time it's all Trump:global tariff war ramped up +endless special ops across different countries. Everyone's nerves are fried.
But here's my take: COVID actually wrecked the real economy —lockdowns, supply chains snapped, people dying. this spike feels way more like pure emotional freakout from investors. And that's literally what the index tracks — not actual damage,just how uncertain and panicked market players feel.
Fun fact:every time this thing hit crazy highs in the past, markets bounced back stupid fast and we got some of the biggest rallies ever recorded.
The only twist right now?Stocks haven't properly crashed yet (that's usually the first domino to fall)
So I'm betting on:
- a quick relief rally in the near term (fear eases a bit,tariffs look less apocalyptic),
- then a decent correction,
- and only after that — new all-time highs.
Uncertainty is the real killer tax right now,but history shows when fear gets this loud, money often starts flowing back in hard.
DYOR, not advice— markets can stay irrational way longer than your patience lasts.
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