New Mini-Set for Splinterlands
Honestly, I am a bit out of the loop in regards to Splinterlands. It's impressive to see how the game has developed in the last year or so and as an inactive player I don't know what is really going on anymore. And that is a good thing - if the game was still like it was when I was still playing some years ago there wouldn't have been any development.
I have tried to follow up on the announced mini-set for Splinterlands back in August. While it was supposed to have been released in Q4 of 2025, the release was postponed to Q1 of 2026. I believe it is now set for a February release. The team is very optimistic about the sale and expects the following:
Based on similar past events and the size of this set, we expect - but cannot guarantee - that the Mini-set is likely to sell out, in which case it would provide the following results if the set sells out in each currency:
2,588m DEC
181m SPS
$2.588m USDC
+25,000/5,000/2,500 guaranteed Standard/Alchemy/Legendary packs for the DAO ($287,500 at $ per packs)
As 
- Use SPS Token to receive Discount and thus add value to SPS Token (increasing demand and price)
- By giving "discount via SPS...", this will encourage the purchaser to use SPS as their primary token of purchase up to roughly $.01425 per SPS...
Since all mini-sets have been sold out in the past we can be very optimistic that SPS will in fact revisit this price range rather sooner than later since it would be irrational for players not to take advantage of a low SPS price.
TA
SPS itself has shown strength in recent times, outperforming most other Alts. In a post back in August I also noted that SPS was slowly but steadily rising. Here is the outlook from back then:
While the breakout in the chart was not sustained, SPS is now ready for a second push. Here is an updated chart:
The $0.014 price area is an interesting one, since we have the 2023 bottom as well as the 2025 peak in that area. Whenever Splinterlands is about to release a set, price tends to move quickly (e.g. Q1 of 2025). I therefore wouldn't be surprised to see the token doing a quick move up to that area.
Overall the outlook given in August of 2025 is still in effect. In general I would give a broad range within a parallel channel going up. The top range would be ~10 cents and the bottom ~2 cents within 2026. If so, 2024/5 were the years when SPS ultimately bottomed after a 99% price crash. While this is ultimately positive, the chart also shows just how slowly I would expect price to rise again with 10 cents being the euphoric and a bit unrealistic target for Q4. But then again we also have to note the increased supply since 2021, giving SPS roughly the same MC at ~10 cents when it was $1 back then.
As a general reminder: Please keep in mind that none of this is official investment advice! Crypto trading entails a great deal of risk; never spend money that you can't afford to lose!
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