I have seen a lot of excitement surrounding bitcoin's halving.

Bitcoins 3rd halving event is now less than a week away. As the time to the block height 630000 comes closer, the level of excitement is increasing manifold amongst the crypto enthusiasts and investors.

But seriously what do you expect out of this halving event in the short term? Do you think bitcoin's price will double or triple or will reach over dollar 50,000?

Going through several surveys, polls and expert opinions to this question, it reveals that most people ain't expecting any miracle. Most of the people with bullish sentiments would be content if Bitcoin crosses 10000 mark and reaches about 14 to 15000 dollars. And for those, who are very bullish at this moment, they only expect Bitcoin to touch its previous all time high and somewhat a possibility to get beyond its ATH of $20K.

But most of these sentiments are mere sentiments or speculations or a good possibility, at best.

But if most of these people are happy with doubling of their money in less than a month; then where were all these guys at the time of Hive fork?

Wasn't Hive fork a better opportunity than BTC halvening?

When Hive hard fork was announced there was almost a certain offer to double your money in 2 days. The game was simple and with no high risks. One just needed to buy SBD (that is pegged to 1 USD) and holding it for a day or two would have almost certainly resulted in 2 USD as 1HBD was airdropped in 1:1 proportion to all SBD holders.

So 1 SBD became 1 SBD + 1 HBD ( both pegged to USD) = 2 USD in a jiffy. And if you are patient enough and wanted to try your luck further by holding it for a little over one month then you might have encased 1 HBD for as much as $2.86 USD.

Thus your $1 investment could have become $3.86 (about 4x) in a month. But even if you ignore ATH price for HBD, a 2x return was almost a certainty in a couple of days.

Where else can you find this much certainty of doubling of your capital in such a short time? And no scam or ponzy but a totally legit scheme.

Then why didn't HBD attract even a fraction of this excitement that surrounds BTC's halving?

Even Steem or Hive community wasn't much interested in SBD-HBD potential benefit. Everyone wanted to accumulate more STEEM in the hope of getting more HIVE.

That explain that people are much more greedy even when a good return is offered to them. Doubling wasn't enough! They expected to earn more through HIVE then just doubling their investment through SBD.

Luckily for them, HIVE did go to $1 in a little over a month. But doubling didn't even required this much of betting!

But does this mean Bitcoin investment during this event can yield more?
Let's see where this Bitcoin halving lead us to in a month or two.

• What's your conservative guess for BTC price after halving?