Warning of cosmic impact or explosions for the years 2032 and 2036.
On October 29, the University of New Mexico published a statement. It deals with where they expose an investigation launched as a warning, since it suggests a risk of cosmic impact or aerial explosion in the years of January 2032 and 2036.
What is this about swarms? It turns out that the comet, Encke or 2P/ Encke, leaves remains in its wake, but it does not leave them uniformly, among other things, because Jupiter's gravity alters or compresses, packaging those remains. According to this research, which was directed by Professor Mark Boslough, the risks to the Earth are analyzed in the swarm years, which occur every 3 years, since this comet has a period of 3.3 years and analyzes the possibility of impact with the Earth of fragments, not the size of a coin, nor 3 meters, but tens of meters or more than 100 m.
The statement even gives as examples the cases of the asteroid impact event Chelyabinsk in 2013 and Tunguska in 1908, the one in Chelyabinsk injured hundreds and millions of euros in damage, but Chelyabinsk is not related to the remains of the comet Encke, which is suspected to have been a fragment of said comet, it is the one that exploded in Tunguska in Siberia in 1908, on June 30 to be exact. which could be, according to their calculation, just over 100 m in diameter.
Experts associate it with the betataurids, another meteor shower generated by Comet Encke, but the approximate trajectory of the Tonguska object is also consistent with that shower of remains of Comet Encke. The investigation therefore analyzes the Chelyabinsk explosion and estimates that the asteroid had a diameter of about 18 m and an explosive power of approximately half a megaton. The Tunguska explosion was much more brutal, about 10 times more powerful, perhaps up to 5 megatons, it devastated thousands of square kilometers and is suspected of having killed at least one local hunter.
It was in 1908 and there is not much information about the people who could have been there at that time, luckily it was a very unpopulated area of Siberia, but if it arrived or if it had occurred in a large city, New York, London, Beijing, Tokyo or Paris, that Tunguska explosion would have caused tens of thousands of deaths and would have practically devastated the city, therefore, according to this investigation, we must be very attentive to the swarm years of 2032 and 2036, since according to researchers, a very important package of remains was concentrated in those years and there could be large fragments of tens of meters or perhaps some of more than 100 m.
Comet Encke is not dangerous in itself, it is not one of the large ones, rather it is medium-sized, the estimate is that it is 4 to 6 km in diameter and has an orbital period of 3.3 years, the comet's trajectory takes it to be as close to the sun as the planet Mercury is and then moves away beyond the orbit of Mars, but the point is that Encke is the largest remnant of a giant comet between 50 to 100 km in diameter. diameter that broke as the sun approached about 40,000 years ago.
It would be different from the other giant comet that broke up about 2,300 years ago in the time of ancient Greece and which is the origin of the Kreutz sun rays, and the fact is that giant comets exist, they are quite scary and from time to time, as you see, one of those giant comets of 50 km or 100 km approach the area of the inner planets of the solar system, therefore, Encke has this long tradition of breaking up and leaving remains. It is disintegrating.
A 100 km asteroid would indeed be a planet killer.
Source
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