Have you ever played the game "would you rather"? It seems like a really simple game. You are presented with two scenarios and you simply pick one or the other. Simple at the surface, but as you dig into the game you start to realize just how complex it can be. Suddenly, it's not just an easy choice between two things, it's mapping out scenarios, analyzing cause and effect, all kinds of complex stuff that you don't see at first.
There is a reason the game is so impactful and still gets played even today. In fact, I'm pretty sure has alluded to the fact that he plays this game quite frequently with is daughter
. It's a poignant game and it has all the pieces required to build a growing mind.
I saw a meme the other day that has literally been haunting me as I consider all the facets to what at the base level seems like a simple question. You've probably seen the meme yourself, but maybe you never really gave it a second thought. It goes something like this:
The iconic blue pill and red pill from The Matrix movie. You take one pill, you get 10 BTC right now. You take the other pill you get to go back to 2010 with all the knowledge you have now.
It seems like a no brainer right? At least from a fiscal standpoint and given the price of BTC right now, going back to 2010 is the most obvious choice, but as you think about it, things get a bit more murky. I met my wife in 2007, so I wouldn't have to worry about that too much. Of course, if you met your significant other after 2010, it might be a bit of a gray area for you.
Plus, you need to consider the fact that you need to basically wait 12 years before you see any kind of return. Let's say you took $1000 and you bought into BTC when it was $.004. I know you probably could have gotten it cheaper than that or just mined it, but let's run with this scenario. That gives you 250,000 BTC.
Now, let's say you have to wait until 2017 when we saw the first really impressive top to BTC at around $17,000. If you sell it all, that gives you something like $4.2 Billion Dollars. Like I said though, that's a lot of time to wait. What do you do with those 12+ years knowing you have to wait until now or the recent $120K mark.
Obviously, you would sell some of it and make some investments. Perhaps you would just rack up a bunch of debt so you aren't wasting those years since you know you would be able to pay it back eventually.
There are all kinds of ways you can play this. Sell 100,000 tokens in 2017 at $17,000. That gives you $1.7 Billion dollars to invest in NVIDIA, Gamestop, or LUNA (as long as you get out in time). Remember, you know what is going to happen. Then you still have 150,000 BTC sitting around for when it hits $100K or $200K.
Like I said, from a fiscal point of view, it's kind of a no brainer. Heck, if you think about it, HIVE might not even exist in that scenario. Like I would have moved a bunch of money into STEEM and with the stake I would have held, Justin Sun wouldn't have had a chance, even with the exchanges at his back.
However, there are a lot more moral or philosophical aspects to consider. My wife and I lost our dog of 15 years a couple of years ago, would I want to live through that pain again? What about loved ones we have lost between now and then, not to mention other heartbreaks. Sure, you might try to stop some of them, but at that point you are just kind of playing with fate and risking looking like a crazy person.
On the flip side, 10 BTC if BTC gets closer to $200K would give me a pretty comfortable life. Plus you don't have to relive any of the drama, heartbreak, or stress that you dealt with since 2010. Of course, you don't get to relive all the joy either.
See how complex this can get?
It's honestly a bit ridiculous the amount of thought I have put into this over the past few days since I saw that meme. Just imagine if I actually applied that brain power to something actually productive. It's actually a bit embarrassing.
So let's see what you have to say about it. Go ahead and make your choice in the little poll I created, but also go a step further and explain why you made your choice in the comments. You don't need to write a book (please don't write a book), but just give a basic rundown. If the comments aren't enough, make your own post! Go ahead and throw it The Pub, just make sure you follow the community guidelines.
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