This is the first **Prediction Market experiment **
Question:
What will be the price of HIVE in 7 days (at post payout time)?
Reference price: $0.10
How to participate:
- There are two comments, each representing one outcome
- Vote by supporting the comment you believe is correct
- Minimum vote: 0.01 SLOTH (for practical delegation reasons)
Outcomes (vote on ONE comment only):
Comment A:
➡️ HIVE will be ABOVE 0.10
Comment B:
➡️ HIVE will be BELOW or EQUAL to 0.10
When the market ends (at payout):
- The correct outcome wins
- All users who voted correctly receive permanent delegation
- Delegation is based on the 50% vote reward (standard Hive mechanics)
- Delegations are permanent — never removed, never undelegated
Extra incentive (from the losing comment):
- Rewards generated by the incorrect comment are redistributed as delegation to the top voters of the winning comment:
- 1st place (highest vote) → 40%
- 2nd place → 30%
- 3rd place → 20%
This is an experiment in collective judgment, clear incentives, and long-term alignment.
Vote carefully. 🦥🔮
Posted using sloth.buzz