Hi Everyone,
I’m back with another Actifit Report. It’s been a long time again, and I haven’t posted much in this time. My main focus has been my book. It is progressing really well. I think I’m roughly 70% through the first draft. I’m halfway through Part 4. I intend for the book to have five parts.
Despite this work, I’ve still found time to post the results of my first Sapien Loop quiz as well as the second Sapien Loop quiz. The first Sapien Loop quiz was a great disappointment. Only two participants entered, and neither of them could answer the minimum of five questions correctly. The prize of 30 Hive Power has been rolled over to the second quiz.
I have now posted the second Sapien Loop quiz. So far, four have entered, which is a significant improvement over the previous quiz. Maybe the increased value of the prize has attracted them. Hopefully, more will enter in the remaining five days.
War in the Middle East
War has kicked off again in the Middle East. I discussed this in my post 'The Left Right Left Right March Intensifies’. Events have progressed as expected. The US and Israel struck Iran first, and Iran retaliated immediately. The Ayatollah was killed within the first few hours of the war. That was quicker than I expected. His death looks like a sacrifice. He was a sick old man who was probably going to die of natural causes in the next few years. This war has allowed him to die as a martyr. The new leadership will probably be more competent. The Iranian people are likely to be united over the loss of their spiritual leader. The loss of his life could even unite all of the Shia Muslims.
Iran has attacked Israel and US bases all over the Middle East. They have even attacked Major Arab cities. They have closed the Strait of Hormuz. If it remains closed, it will have a huge economic impact on the world. The war is likely to expand to US allies such as the UK. The UK base in Cyprus has already been hit by Hezbollah drones.
Things are moving very fast. It appears Iran has been hit incredibly hard. However, they appear to have caused significant damage to the US bases and Israel. Without boots on the ground, regime change in Iran appears highly unlikely. The Ayatollah’s sacrifice has strengthened the regime’s grip on the country. The new leadership will probably be more radical than the old one.
The cost of the war will be high for the Iranian people (loss of life and critical infrastructure). This will be followed by further isolation and more sanctions. I expect people to flee Iran and head west. People may even flee the other Gulf states if they become perceived as too dangerous. Israel’s immediate future is bleak. Tough times lie ahead for everyone. This is the establishment's plan, and it seems to be going well. They will be very happy with Donald Trump.
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